@polarbear123
#146,484270x0434affa10f5264258af643774ddec777203a98c
~247d· 635 markets · 7710 tradesVol: $1,746,4152026-08-04 18:09:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (316/634)9.9/20
0.94x (win $45,395 / loss $48,384)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.5340/15
Sortino -0.6840/10
$-0.0104 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (634 markets)10/10
96/191 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 173% of peak ($9,057 / $5,227)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+224
Contrarian
73% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Whale
$287,581 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
83% maker orders
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#9,302$4,981Vol: $757,006
₿ CRYPTO#1,589,881$-483Vol: $387,699
🎭 CULTURE#815,350$-3,782Vol: $143,355
📢 MENTIONS#171,080$-291Vol: $18,081
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,371$-1,715Vol: $10,028
📈 ECONOMICS#677,689$-734Vol: $5,441
Overview
#1Net PnL
$297
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,746,415
Total Redeem
$688
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
635
total markets
Trades
4495B / 3215S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~247d
Periods
#2Today
$91
Vol: $13,317
Week
$69
Vol: $14,174
Month
$196
Vol: $19,237
All Time
$297
Vol: $1,746,415
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
316W / 318L events
Realized PnL
$224
Win Rate
50%
316W / 318L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$144
Avg Loss
$-153
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,798 (21.451846552803364% of PnL)
Top Winners
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritz$1,680
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 24?$1,597
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner$1,520
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)$1,197
Solana above $145 on March 7?$1,019
Will Solana dip to $100 by March?$948
Will Solana dip to $110 in March?$915
Will Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$807
UFC Fight Night: Ludovit Klein vs. Tofiq Musayev (Lightweight, Prelims)$795
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?$795
Top Losers
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur$-2,221
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-2,112
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$-1,834
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)$-1,700
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 27?$-1,562
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-1,311
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2?$-1,167
Cavaliers vs. Heat$-1,128
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)$-1,116
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner$-1,010
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.028
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
152
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
20.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
35.0m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.6
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.40 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal83% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
12.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)29.9%
Mid (20-55c)43.2%
High (>55c)27%
Sessions
#1211/11/2025, 2:20:38 PM134 trades$15,81048 min
11/12/2025, 1:51:28 PM104 trades$14,49034 min
11/12/2025, 1:26:16 PM75 trades$11,52319 min
11/13/2025, 1:42:28 PM77 trades$10,43047 min
11/12/2025, 2:33:04 PM70 trades$9,85013 min
11/9/2025, 10:46:53 AM72 trades$8,00120 min
11/10/2025, 8:21:08 PM7 trades$6,12511 min
11/11/2025, 7:42:32 PM52 trades$5,80125 min
11/12/2025, 3:17:04 PM40 trades$5,50414 min
3/25/2025, 6:24:25 PM4 trades$5,5032 min
3/25/2025, 7:35:59 AM10 trades$4,61012 min
11/14/2025, 7:48:32 PM32 trades$4,2626 min
3/25/2025, 7:05:27 AM1 trades$3,8350 min
11/16/2025, 5:42:15 PM34 trades$3,74523 min
11/11/2025, 3:28:28 PM32 trades$3,72310 min
11/9/2025, 11:52:29 AM40 trades$3,64912 min
10/29/2025, 9:03:39 AM12 trades$3,4379 min
11/11/2025, 1:59:28 PM34 trades$3,12715 min
11/10/2025, 2:25:42 PM14 trades$3,10610 min
11/16/2025, 6:39:17 PM51 trades$3,08225 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-28
03-25
05-22
08-17
10-30
01-03
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 481 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L29.9 / M43.2 / H27