@polijump

#2,516,22746

0x497bd8e5f14c4bd06de30632e02d8f8c37180a10

~26d· 81 markets · 428 tradesVol: $16,0962026-08-04 21:52:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (23/63)3.3/20
1.14x (win $229 / loss $201)4.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.04015/15
Sortino 1.77810/10
$+0.0150 per $1 invested0.7/10
HHI 473 (63 markets)10/10
8/20 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 376% of peak ($106 / $28)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
80% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,517,093$-99Vol: $11,006
CRYPTO#239,086$10Vol: $4,584
SPORTS#1,112,633$-3Vol: $401
🎭 CULTURE#271,328$0Vol: $70
💰 FINANCE#188,704$0Vol: $35

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-92
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,096
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
81
total markets
Trades
230B / 198S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $844
Month
$-36
Vol: $1,004
All Time
$-92
Vol: $16,096

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
23W / 40L events
Realized PnL
$-92
Win Rate
37%
23W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.14x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118 (1.2936291115725056% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET$29
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$20
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11AM ET$8
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$6

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$-40
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$-25
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$-24
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-18
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-12
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.053
Sortino
0.086
HHI
418
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.4%
Top-5 markets
35.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.0m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)60.4%
High (>55c)19.6%

Sessions

#12
8/2/2026, 10:54:00 AM69 trades$49612 min
3/5/2026, 1:54:05 PM2 trades$2281 min
3/5/2026, 11:54:37 AM2 trades$2021 min
3/5/2026, 7:09:45 PM2 trades$2021 min
3/5/2026, 6:59:59 PM2 trades$2000 min
3/5/2026, 12:21:15 PM4 trades$1394 min
1/13/2026, 7:10:36 PM6 trades$13410 min
3/5/2026, 1:06:01 PM17 trades$1308 min
3/5/2026, 1:23:15 PM15 trades$1063 min
2/28/2026, 4:15:15 PM1 trades$1010 min
2/22/2026, 7:39:22 PM13 trades$991 min
2/22/2026, 7:49:14 PM1 trades$990 min
2/28/2026, 3:53:01 PM1 trades$900 min
1/13/2026, 6:46:36 PM3 trades$887 min
3/25/2026, 5:58:57 PM28 trades$8826 min
1/13/2026, 7:45:40 PM5 trades$590 min
4/21/2026, 10:35:16 PM15 trades$5710 min
3/25/2026, 6:33:49 PM17 trades$527 min
3/21/2026, 3:09:53 AM11 trades$4612 min
1/14/2026, 3:38:52 PM7 trades$448 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-22
02-23
03-01
03-17
03-24
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.57/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L20 / M60.4 / H19.6