@pollybond

#18,32878

0x224d8f31cd00a206485460adaff9c0d42784e0e7

~39d· 20 markets · 211 tradesVol: $112,7262026-08-04 19:47:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

100% (11/11)20/20
99.00x (win $6,365 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 20.59115/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0656 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 1645 (11 markets)4.3/10
9/9 profitable days (100%)10/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $6,365)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+7,595
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Whale
$97,059 invested
Consistent
9/9 profitable days
High Roller
$1,198/day
Cool Head
Max DD 0%
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#5,179$6,704Vol: $99,590
📈 ECONOMICS#4,752$493Vol: $6,782
🎭 CULTURE#9,096$399Vol: $6,354

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,595
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$112,726
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
138B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$268
Vol: $0
Week
$278
Vol: $1,555
Month
$-310
Vol: $1,555
All Time
$7,595
Vol: $112,726

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
100%
11W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,595
Win Rate
100%
11W / 0L
Profit Factor
99x
Avg Win
$579
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,193 (0.5520480725301145% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,944
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1,285
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$963
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$706
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$406
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$367
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$340
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$114
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$109
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$103

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.016
Sortino
inf
HHI
480
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
44.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1785s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 3:02:07 AM2 trades$9,1000 min
7/1/2026, 1:28:32 AM2 trades$8,3610 min
7/17/2026, 3:28:07 AM11 trades$7,1980 min
7/13/2026, 9:36:11 PM2 trades$6,5840 min
8/4/2026, 7:44:18 PM1 trades$5,0950 min
7/24/2026, 6:49:42 AM2 trades$4,7561 min
6/20/2026, 1:47:01 PM7 trades$4,2500 min
7/24/2026, 6:32:27 AM1 trades$4,0840 min
6/3/2026, 5:52:52 AM1 trades$3,5570 min
6/17/2026, 5:45:01 PM1 trades$3,4740 min
5/26/2026, 9:22:44 AM4 trades$3,3601 min
6/4/2026, 2:53:10 AM1 trades$2,9680 min
5/31/2026, 3:04:55 PM1 trades$2,7240 min
6/27/2026, 3:45:14 AM8 trades$2,6060 min
6/9/2026, 11:16:09 AM1 trades$2,1310 min
5/18/2026, 12:43:45 AM1 trades$2,0540 min
6/11/2026, 5:30:27 PM2 trades$1,9360 min
5/18/2026, 11:47:24 AM1 trades$1,9340 min
6/29/2026, 12:35:56 PM1 trades$1,9140 min
6/9/2026, 1:10:46 PM1 trades$1,9140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
05-26
05-28
05-31
06-04
06-17
06-19
06-27
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100