@polyinit-23-cc9d3e

#2,387,31711

0x8e8ff39c05a5ebddb992f73a26fc668aa19230ea

~30d· 106 markets · 639 tradesVol: $9,9142026-08-04 22:58:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (27/67)5.1/20
0.38x (win $318 / loss $831)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.7540/15
Sortino -4.8730/10
$-0.3415 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1842 (67 markets)3.3/10
10/25 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($612 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#149,728$15Vol: $3,709
₿ CRYPTO#1,325,301$-31Vol: $1,707
⚽ SPORTS#1,423,960$-16Vol: $1,694
📈 ECONOMICS#608,104$-12Vol: $1,673
💰 FINANCE#565,321$-9Vol: $442
🎭 CULTURE#682,651$-10Vol: $140
🌤️ WEATHER#72,162$0Vol: $46
📢 MENTIONS#95,700$-2Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-55
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,914
Total Redeem
$133
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
106
total markets
Trades
296B / 343S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-55
Vol: $9,914

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
27W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-55
Win Rate
41%
27W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $209 (3.7661610689779708% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$115
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$73
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$15
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$11
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?$9
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 Winner$9

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-340
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$-225
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-50
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$-19
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-17
No one announced as next James Bond?$-16
Will there be no next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?$-14
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?$-12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-12

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.244
Sortino
-0.199
HHI
390
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.441
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.3%
Top-5 markets
39.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.8
Active
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1674s — normal for humanCV 1.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock18 trades/day — very active2.9 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.97
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.2%
High (>55c)67.9%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 1:05:28 PM2 trades$4710 min
7/14/2026, 3:46:07 PM8 trades$4224 min
7/14/2026, 2:03:37 PM2 trades$4000 min
6/30/2026, 1:54:08 AM2 trades$3330 min
6/28/2026, 8:22:31 PM2 trades$1940 min
6/29/2026, 4:39:05 PM3 trades$1930 min
7/23/2026, 7:18:33 PM41 trades$1801 min
7/14/2026, 9:08:32 PM12 trades$17110 min
7/14/2026, 2:27:46 PM3 trades$1710 min
6/30/2026, 4:10:31 PM4 trades$1053 min
7/7/2026, 8:10:47 PM2 trades$1050 min
7/5/2026, 6:19:16 PM4 trades$1030 min
7/13/2026, 6:47:11 PM8 trades$1003 min
6/28/2026, 4:09:08 PM2 trades$1000 min
7/6/2026, 12:07:23 AM6 trades$850 min
7/10/2026, 3:21:13 PM8 trades$822 min
6/30/2026, 7:00:07 AM2 trades$790 min
6/30/2026, 7:27:10 AM4 trades$780 min
7/22/2026, 6:24:46 PM9 trades$630 min
7/6/2026, 10:21:38 PM9 trades$612 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
06-24
06-30
07-06
07-10
07-15
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M18.2 / H67.9