@polytom

#2,283,78926

0x637a9d522743957a3c20069288de23fd8c9f6aac

~9d· 32 markets · 63 tradesVol: $12,6392026-08-04 21:01:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (18/32)13.1/20
0.84x (win $519 / loss $616)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6690/15
Sortino -1.9650/10
$-0.0388 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1386 (32 markets)5.6/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($281 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#65,605$96Vol: $10,647
₿ CRYPTO#1,560,559$-285Vol: $716
💻 TECH#240,392$-32Vol: $328
🎭 CULTURE#31,631$47Vol: $310
📢 MENTIONS#5,570$115Vol: $239
📈 ECONOMICS#22,797$32Vol: $225
💰 FINANCE#580,838$-12Vol: $174

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-40
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,639
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
48B / 15S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~9d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
18W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-40
Win Rate
56%
18W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-44

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $292 (7.383623957543594% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?$126
Will Trump say "Hulk" or "Hulkster" this week?$115
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?$51
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?$45
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?$43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$31
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$27
Will Trump lower tariffs on Canada by December 31?$20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 7?$15
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 9PM ET$15

Top Losers

Will Ethereum reach $3800 in July?$-300
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 13?$-136
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$-39
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$-20
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$-20
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 8?$-17
Will Zohran Mamdani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-16
Will The Walt Disney Company (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?$-14
Will the Government shutdown end by October 24?$-10
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in October?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.082
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
1759
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.3%
Top-5 markets
69.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
25.6m
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 86s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.97
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)39.6%
Mid (20-55c)27.1%
High (>55c)33.3%

Sessions

#12
6/26/2026, 8:32:35 PM6 trades$5350 min
8/19/2025, 11:56:30 PM5 trades$3593 min
11/7/2025, 4:53:55 AM4 trades$3528 min
7/19/2025, 7:41:34 PM1 trades$3000 min
10/22/2025, 1:58:07 AM9 trades$22013 min
12/5/2025, 5:42:27 PM2 trades$1893 min
11/13/2025, 5:41:14 AM2 trades$1890 min
8/3/2025, 12:09:48 AM3 trades$1645 min
11/13/2025, 6:14:18 AM9 trades$1362 min
10/22/2025, 2:20:47 AM5 trades$1295 min
7/19/2025, 8:01:02 PM1 trades$1200 min
7/19/2025, 7:32:06 PM5 trades$1174 min
11/13/2025, 6:07:28 AM2 trades$762 min
8/3/2025, 5:59:38 PM1 trades$350 min
7/19/2025, 7:47:22 PM3 trades$303 min
10/24/2025, 2:38:15 AM2 trades$252 min
10/22/2025, 2:34:33 AM1 trades$240 min
10/22/2025, 2:46:31 AM2 trades$124 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-19
08-03
08-19
10-22
10-24
11-07
11-13
12-05
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.97/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L39.6 / M27.1 / H33.3