@predicdio

#70,73868

0xdb55156cd7cbeabf4982a9b7e1c8ee5fb112782f

~22d· 19 markets · 243 tradesVol: $67,7162026-08-05 01:18:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (8/17)8.5/20
2.01x (win $3,590 / loss $1,787)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.90615/15
Sortino 23.77910/10
$+0.1025 per $1 invested5.1/10
HHI 1902 (17 markets)3/10
5/13 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($413 / $1,803)9.4/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,273
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 13.6 entries/market
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#13,574$1,552Vol: $33,176
₿ CRYPTO#1,445,848$-82Vol: $27,295
💰 FINANCE#581,073$-12Vol: $6,846
🌤️ WEATHER#290,379$-184Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,273
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,716
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
176B / 67S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,273
Vol: $67,716

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
8W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$1,273
Win Rate
47%
8W / 9L
Profit Factor
2.01x
Avg Win
$449
Avg Loss
$-199

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,137 (2.4640730791586156% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$1,398
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$921
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?$818
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?$191
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$154
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?$51
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$35
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$21

Top Losers

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-1,113
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$-240
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$-184
Will Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$-176
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?$-45
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-13
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 23?$-12
Will Upbit be accused of insider trading?$-3
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.297
Sortino
1.403
HHI
2273
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.109
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
39.9%
Top-5 markets
82.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 188s — normal for humanCV 2.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.5%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)44.3%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 11:55:17 AM6 trades$2,9714 min
7/14/2026, 5:16:31 AM9 trades$2,0880 min
6/20/2026, 7:34:17 PM1 trades$1,9010 min
1/17/2026, 4:27:00 PM3 trades$1,3201 min
6/19/2026, 12:26:05 PM4 trades$1,2822 min
7/26/2026, 11:24:43 AM1 trades$1,0690 min
1/17/2026, 4:46:58 PM2 trades$9500 min
2/25/2026, 7:49:48 AM7 trades$7522 min
5/26/2026, 2:52:55 PM1 trades$7460 min
7/4/2026, 2:07:58 AM4 trades$7401 min
7/14/2026, 8:05:40 PM8 trades$6217 min
7/26/2026, 10:00:21 AM1 trades$6110 min
7/26/2026, 8:38:12 AM1 trades$6010 min
5/30/2026, 11:12:25 PM2 trades$5035 min
2/23/2026, 5:53:52 PM1 trades$4970 min
2/23/2026, 5:42:48 PM1 trades$4960 min
6/19/2026, 1:04:56 PM1 trades$4920 min
6/19/2026, 11:40:25 AM4 trades$4451 min
7/17/2026, 12:23:25 PM8 trades$4100 min
6/20/2026, 1:39:26 PM4 trades$3205 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
02-24
03-04
05-31
06-17
07-03
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.65/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L41.5 / M14.2 / H44.3