@predictability
#34,702680x4126330ba61224a3b265921fcdea1adc50d6e68b
~36d· 464 markets · 51655 tradesVol: $905,4832026-08-05 04:33:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
60% (276/462)14.9/20
1.09x (win $28,417 / loss $26,138)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.65715/15
Sortino 4.23910/10
$+0.0238 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 37 (462 markets)10/10
21/36 profitable days (58%)7.1/10
Max DD 38% of peak ($1,129 / $2,953)6.4/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+3,378
DCA Master
Avg 111.5 entries/market
Whale
$95,634 invested
High Roller
$2,657/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,771,264$-315Vol: $782,440
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$905,483
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
464
total markets
Trades
24928B / 26727S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$-248
Vol: $3,170
Week
$-717
Vol: $62,427
Month
$-1,024
Vol: $84,998
All Time
$3,378
Vol: $905,483
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
60%
276W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$3,378
Win Rate
60%
276W / 186L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$103
Avg Loss
$-141
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,002 (0.888944484084806% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will ETO FC vs. KF Víkingur end in a draw?$1,104
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-07-29?$998
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-14?$901
Will FK Borac Banja Luka win on 2026-07-07?$825
Will Floriana FC win on 2026-07-07?$798
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris vs. FC Drita end in a draw?$708
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-28?$656
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$508
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?$477
New York Liberty vs. Toronto Tempo$462
Top Losers
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever$-484
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins$-447
Will FC Drita win on 2026-07-14?$-403
Will Rīga FC vs. Ararat-Armenia FA end in a draw?$-401
Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream$-390
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky$-382
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros$-371
Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Miguel Tobon vs Bernard Tomic$-362
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercury$-356
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-07-29?$-349
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.137
Sortino
0.246
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
13.2%
Half-Kelly
6.6%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1434.9
Very active
Markets / Day
12.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.29
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
90 min
Avg Trades / Session
490.4
Bot Detection
#680
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 0.29, 2% unique — templated orders24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock1435 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
111.55
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.1%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)62.6%
Sessions
#127/14/2026, 2:25:28 PM2969 trades$12,315325 min
7/8/2026, 4:59:29 PM1117 trades$3,936131 min
7/20/2026, 11:05:31 PM827 trades$3,073154 min
7/12/2026, 6:56:56 PM842 trades$2,993141 min
7/29/2026, 5:18:27 PM597 trades$2,36167 min
7/13/2026, 2:28:55 PM825 trades$2,238126 min
7/24/2026, 11:56:18 PM649 trades$2,236144 min
7/8/2026, 3:30:14 PM471 trades$1,90077 min
7/26/2026, 4:11:16 PM627 trades$1,862120 min
7/29/2026, 12:36:31 AM571 trades$1,788129 min
7/24/2026, 4:39:09 PM612 trades$1,764121 min
7/7/2026, 5:01:14 PM328 trades$1,74362 min
7/20/2026, 10:19:31 AM601 trades$1,742117 min
7/11/2026, 7:45:41 PM480 trades$1,728129 min
7/20/2026, 3:34:06 PM599 trades$1,719105 min
7/5/2026, 7:57:46 PM325 trades$1,64226 min
7/17/2026, 4:41:33 PM549 trades$1,635146 min
7/21/2026, 1:38:15 PM532 trades$1,631159 min
7/29/2026, 4:16:08 PM343 trades$1,58855 min
7/21/2026, 9:49:09 AM496 trades$1,58280 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-01
07-07
07-13
07-19
07-25
07-31
08-05
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 111.55/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.1 / M35.3 / H62.6