@prediction199

#442,20875

0xccb3ae4f1e7e86beda4957b5f8958582b6bcc2e4

~19d· 73 markets · 479 tradesVol: $7,7522026-08-04 22:47:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (12/20)15/20
1.50x (win $50 / loss $34)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 7.86215/15
Sortino 22.36510/10
$+0.0082 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 1056 (20 markets)7.2/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 27% of peak ($6 / $23)8.5/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+16
Consistent
7/9 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 27%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#278,295$2Vol: $3,336
📈 ECONOMICS#41,945$10Vol: $2,106
₿ CRYPTO#1,078,303$-6Vol: $1,100
💰 FINANCE#84,701$4Vol: $760
⚽ SPORTS#347,986$4Vol: $290
📢 MENTIONS#33,207$2Vol: $130

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,752
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
225B / 254S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $100
Week
$-6
Vol: $500
Month
$-5
Vol: $500
All Time
$16
Vol: $7,752

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
12W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$16
Win Rate
60%
12W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.5x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $39 (2.462986198243413% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in July?$10
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July?$8
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$2
Will Amish Shah be the AZ-01 Democratic nominee?$1
Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?$1
Will Trump say "Russia" during Speech to the Nation?$0
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?$0

Top Losers

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in July?$-13
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be at least 55.0 in July?$-9
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.388
Sortino
1.109
HHI
17
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.066
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.82
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.0

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 687s — normal for humanCV 1.82 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity22 trades/day — high frequency3.3 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)15.6%
High (>55c)71.6%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 9:56:04 PM4 trades$1,0140 min
7/18/2026, 10:59:13 AM22 trades$1,0000 min
7/23/2026, 9:02:43 PM4 trades$2442 min
8/2/2026, 7:45:15 PM2 trades$1940 min
8/3/2026, 1:46:08 PM2 trades$1900 min
7/20/2026, 1:10:21 PM2 trades$1500 min
7/21/2026, 11:45:33 PM10 trades$1471 min
7/21/2026, 1:29:24 AM4 trades$1440 min
7/27/2026, 10:38:48 PM4 trades$1401 min
7/16/2026, 9:42:37 PM4 trades$1121 min
7/29/2026, 1:53:59 AM8 trades$1112 min
7/29/2026, 1:30:03 AM4 trades$1000 min
7/31/2026, 9:00:05 AM14 trades$830 min
7/18/2026, 12:22:13 AM17 trades$772 min
7/16/2026, 11:10:46 PM2 trades$750 min
7/30/2026, 11:00:03 AM4 trades$730 min
7/30/2026, 11:36:50 AM5 trades$650 min
7/31/2026, 1:42:51 PM13 trades$650 min
8/3/2026, 2:00:03 PM4 trades$640 min
8/4/2026, 1:29:14 PM4 trades$610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-16 23:59:00
2026-07-20 00:00:00
2026-07-21 00:00:00
2026-07-25 23:59:00
2026-07-29 00:00:00
2026-07-30 00:00:00
2026-07-30 06:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 06:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.9 / M15.6 / H71.6