@predictrader

#37,48089

0x1ea5c72fca37cabb28c4dcd284e602764d8edc51

~238d· 1383 markets · 3488 tradesVol: $3,190,8172026-08-04 16:19:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (1217/1374)20/20
2.51x (win $5,770 / loss $2,298)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.16015/15
Sortino 4.35510/10
$+0.0013 per $1 invested0.1/10
HHI 22 (1374 markets)10/10
209/226 profitable days (92%)10/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($960 / $3,974)9.2/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+3,047
Whale
$2,668,883 invested
Consistent
209/226 profitable days
High Roller
$9,566/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#13,371$3,449Vol: $3,140,512
🌤️ WEATHER#18,609$15Vol: $14,649
SPORTS#1,768,922$-305Vol: $10,960
💰 FINANCE#643,103$-190Vol: $6,638
🏛️ POLITICS#88,335$53Vol: $4,007
🎭 CULTURE#139,396$1Vol: $136
📈 ECONOMICS#110,213$1Vol: $46
📢 MENTIONS#70,777$-0Vol: $10
💻 TECH#61,091$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,047
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,190,817
Total Redeem
$191,389
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1383
total markets
Trades
2996B / 492S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~238d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $2,015
Week
$11
Vol: $15,601
Month
$22
Vol: $23,681
All Time
$3,047
Vol: $3,190,817

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
1216W / 157L events
Realized PnL
$3,047
Win Rate
89%
1216W / 157L
Profit Factor
2.51x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,111 (0.3647463902501469% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: CR Flamengo (-2.5)$566
CR Flamengo vs. Independiente Medellín: O/U 2.5$287
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$258
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on November 16?$234
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 3?$188
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106,000 on November 4?$123
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$66
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $102,000 and $104,000 on November 5?$43
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$39
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$36

Top Losers

Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-960
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-320
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 3?$-115
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-11-05?$-62
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $110,000 and $112,000 on November 3?$-52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?$-52
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106,000 and $108,000 on November 4?$-50
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 4?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?$-39
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$-39

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.165
Sortino
0.053
HHI
22
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.001
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
3.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 522s — normal for humanCV 1.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active5.0 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.6%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)90.1%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 6:48:22 AM55 trades$37,1364 min
4/3/2026, 6:47:37 PM15 trades$26,5502 min
2/5/2026, 10:05:21 PM6 trades$21,8054 min
2/3/2026, 7:51:06 PM1 trades$21,7780 min
2/4/2026, 7:49:07 PM4 trades$21,6785 min
12/30/2025, 8:22:01 PM11 trades$21,2448 min
1/15/2026, 10:14:16 PM3 trades$21,0904 min
3/8/2026, 12:28:37 PM4 trades$20,3706 min
1/22/2026, 9:59:08 PM2 trades$19,8801 min
6/29/2026, 7:49:38 AM26 trades$17,3622 min
2/12/2026, 3:05:57 AM3 trades$16,9834 min
2/2/2026, 9:32:28 AM2 trades$15,9843 min
12/24/2025, 2:18:07 AM3 trades$14,9853 min
3/12/2026, 7:42:13 PM2 trades$14,9850 min
11/28/2025, 8:12:39 AM4 trades$14,9166 min
1/4/2026, 2:45:15 AM3 trades$11,9532 min
11/19/2025, 4:41:15 PM3 trades$11,4221 min
1/29/2026, 7:41:18 AM4 trades$11,3595 min
11/8/2025, 8:52:47 AM6 trades$11,1246 min
1/25/2026, 8:29:58 AM1 trades$10,5890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-05
01-16
02-24
04-06
06-05
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.6 / M4.3 / H90.1