princessbubblegum

@princessbubblegum

#2,717,00816

0x1aa02e93edbc1d6e934de806642c46cb1180d006

~37d· 29 markets · 329 tradesVol: $19,8312026-08-04 20:40:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (6/14)6.4/20
0.96x (win $2,329 / loss $2,438)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4310/15
Sortino -0.6010/10
$-0.0151 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1651 (14 markets)4.2/10
5/12 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 134% of peak ($1,596 / $1,192)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,547,656$-150Vol: $18,467
💰 FINANCE#612,146$-37Vol: $1,153
🎭 CULTURE#703,933$-13Vol: $153
CRYPTO#1,086,627$-7Vol: $57
🌤️ WEATHER#112,400$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-208
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,831
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
117B / 212S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $0
Month
$-3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-208
Vol: $19,831

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
6W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-208
Win Rate
43%
6W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$388
Avg Loss
$-348

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,759 (8.474315728604472% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$752
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$568
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$439
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$372
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?$167
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$31

Top Losers

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$-1,389
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-373
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?$-306
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-257
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-76
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-30
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.022
Sortino
-0.032
HHI
1746
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.015
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.8%
Top-5 markets
82.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 392s — normal for humanCV 1.22 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
18.57
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)47%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 2:59:02 AM21 trades$9404 min
4/7/2026, 11:17:31 PM5 trades$6841 min
6/14/2026, 10:32:55 PM6 trades$6441 min
4/3/2026, 11:37:37 PM2 trades$6140 min
4/19/2026, 10:47:24 PM10 trades$6144 min
4/27/2026, 9:09:16 PM7 trades$4971 min
3/27/2026, 1:09:07 AM2 trades$4931 min
5/1/2026, 9:52:34 PM3 trades$4660 min
5/1/2026, 10:48:24 PM6 trades$4520 min
6/19/2026, 9:24:43 PM4 trades$4503 min
5/7/2026, 1:07:37 AM20 trades$4497 min
4/7/2026, 9:47:11 PM8 trades$4440 min
5/9/2026, 12:46:59 PM2 trades$3960 min
5/2/2026, 4:43:56 AM7 trades$3603 min
5/1/2026, 10:53:42 PM13 trades$3501 min
4/3/2026, 10:24:27 PM1 trades$3070 min
4/14/2026, 11:57:42 PM7 trades$3050 min
4/9/2026, 9:02:09 PM5 trades$2981 min
5/2/2026, 4:37:02 AM2 trades$2960 min
4/7/2026, 10:53:37 PM1 trades$2770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-24
04-07
04-19
05-09
06-04
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 67 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
64.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.4 / M47 / H43.6