@prodset

#68,3298

0x4d5781ee7752323392f81388365b85d5a4978620

~27d· 83 markets · 1928 tradesVol: $110,0302026-08-04 22:42:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (19/62)0.3/20
0.80x (win $4,391 / loss $5,499)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.5470/15
Sortino -4.2380/10
$-0.0592 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1374 (62 markets)5.6/10
8/22 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 401% of peak ($1,476 / $368)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,356
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
CRYPTO#37,246$678Vol: $68,792
SPORTS#86,317$207Vol: $22,600
💰 FINANCE#10,803$248Vol: $13,996
🏛️ POLITICS#42,097$223Vol: $4,642

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,356
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$110,030
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
83
total markets
Trades
824B / 1104S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $1,488
Week
$18
Vol: $2,308
Month
$35
Vol: $2,308
All Time
$1,356
Vol: $110,030

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
19W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$1,356
Win Rate
31%
19W / 43L
Profit Factor
0.8x
Avg Win
$231
Avg Loss
$-153

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,410 (2.514868572440039% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,469
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$637
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$304
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 6 above $210?$240
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 20 above $610?$154
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 20?$110
Will Europe win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$97
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 20?$77
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $210 on July 24?$70
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.125B?$45

Top Losers

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,091
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 29?$-707
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$-539
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-383
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of July 20 above $210?$-336
Will Meta (META) finish week of July 13 above $640?$-284
Will Meta (META) close above $610 on July 24?$-232
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.6B?$-177
Ethereum Up or Down - July 14, 9AM ET$-105
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-94

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.181
Sortino
-0.195
HHI
4282
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.043
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
60%
Top-5 markets
105%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
60.2
Very active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
27s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 27s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock60 trades/day — mass trading2.6 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
32.98
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.7%
High (>55c)58.5%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 9:48:22 PM234 trades$9,63214 min
7/14/2026, 8:22:28 PM100 trades$3,7531 min
7/7/2026, 6:10:26 PM87 trades$3,6915 min
7/15/2026, 8:17:46 AM99 trades$2,2881 min
7/19/2026, 9:26:27 PM78 trades$2,1747 min
7/15/2026, 8:19:05 PM103 trades$2,1649 min
7/29/2026, 3:19:17 PM51 trades$1,51216 min
7/19/2026, 7:14:52 PM41 trades$1,4352 min
7/19/2026, 9:42:28 PM25 trades$9221 min
7/15/2026, 8:52:29 PM45 trades$9121 min
7/24/2026, 1:33:36 PM20 trades$7393 min
7/8/2026, 1:55:20 PM45 trades$7364 min
7/29/2026, 3:41:03 PM18 trades$6614 min
7/17/2026, 4:30:48 PM12 trades$5960 min
7/16/2026, 11:59:49 AM11 trades$5090 min
7/10/2026, 7:50:55 PM17 trades$4564 min
7/15/2026, 8:39:31 AM26 trades$4011 min
7/24/2026, 3:02:06 PM10 trades$4000 min
7/19/2026, 7:46:15 PM16 trades$3940 min
7/19/2026, 9:00:42 PM25 trades$3872 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-07
07-10
07-13
07-16
07-20
07-24
07-27
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 32.98/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.8 / M17.7 / H58.5