@profitStable

#231,70610

0x74dd6e6addca7a7b5fc3d1b567a177a7c0392131

~16d· 105 markets · 1666 tradesVol: $212,3022026-08-03 17:40:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (14/97)0/20
0.59x (win $437 / loss $734)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.0560/15
Sortino -8.6170/10
$-0.2181 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 249 (97 markets)10/10
3/10 profitable days (30%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($339 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+104
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
1% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#6,807$107Vol: $212,302

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,302
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
1655B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$16
Vol: $7,113
Week
$16
Vol: $22,714
Month
$101
Vol: $35,771
All Time
$107
Vol: $212,302

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
14W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$104
Win Rate
14%
14W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.59x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $200 (1.915275379005949% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 2?$81
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?$68
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on July 28?$51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 2?$50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 23?$40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?$26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 90-91°F on July 18?$25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 28?$20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 18?$15

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on July 29?$-61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 2?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on July 29?$-31
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 2?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 18?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 28?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 29?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 28?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.450
Sortino
-0.504
HHI
150
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.274
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
19.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
92.6
Very active
Markets / Day
5.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.3m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
8 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 189s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock93 trades/day — mass trading5.8 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.46
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)35.3%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 6:50:39 AM9 trades$7014 min
8/3/2026, 12:01:44 PM28 trades$358 min
8/3/2026, 12:38:59 PM20 trades$2823 min
7/18/2026, 3:48:42 PM29 trades$2121 min
8/2/2026, 12:45:24 AM16 trades$1815 min
8/3/2026, 12:16:20 PM12 trades$1810 min
7/20/2026, 3:25:19 PM10 trades$158 min
7/29/2026, 2:49:08 PM14 trades$1522 min
7/17/2026, 5:43:03 PM8 trades$153 min
7/29/2026, 2:34:14 PM8 trades$149 min
7/30/2026, 5:52:17 PM9 trades$144 min
7/30/2026, 4:57:50 PM7 trades$147 min
8/1/2026, 4:11:48 PM11 trades$145 min
7/20/2026, 2:58:39 PM6 trades$139 min
7/20/2026, 12:58:43 PM8 trades$1211 min
8/3/2026, 9:50:59 AM7 trades$1213 min
8/2/2026, 7:17:03 PM13 trades$124 min
7/18/2026, 6:31:49 AM6 trades$1214 min
7/29/2026, 1:59:29 PM9 trades$1216 min
8/2/2026, 1:42:15 AM6 trades$1111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-17 12:00:00
2026-07-18 12:00:00
2026-07-20 12:00:00
2026-07-22 12:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-25 12:00:00
2026-07-28 12:00:00
2026-07-29 12:00:00
2026-07-30 12:00:00
2026-08-02 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.46/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.5 / M11.1 / H35.3