@pth-hjt-mm

#2,993,38526

0x7f1f06698abd8d27b8b9c86764de5684702feb96

~24d· 76 markets · 2012 tradesVol: $138,2832026-08-05 17:25:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (33/72)7.9/20
0.96x (win $1,266 / loss $1,320)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4990/15
Sortino -0.6060/10
$-0.0032 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 462 (72 markets)10/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 2120% of peak ($506 / $24)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 27.3 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#298,686$-1,672Vol: $133,318
🎭 CULTURE#800,424$-255Vol: $3,978
💰 FINANCE#597,644$-21Vol: $640
⚽ SPORTS#321,458$6Vol: $326

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,931
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$138,283
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
1444B / 568S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-22
Vol: $562
Week
$-87
Vol: $6,426
Month
$-120
Vol: $7,770
All Time
$-1,931
Vol: $138,283

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
32W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-1,931
Win Rate
46%
32W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-34

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $429 (0.2221974824074026% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on July 7?$160
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 7?$143
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on July 27?$126
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5?$119
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 31?$84
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 6?$82
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on July 27?$75
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 23?$59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?$48
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$42

Top Losers

Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding?$-154
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?$-126
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1?$-95
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 25?$-85
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on July 25?$-84
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 7?$-68
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 7?$-64
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 23?$-56
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 7?$-55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?$-48

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.026
HHI
386
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
13.3%
Half-Kelly
6.7%
Top-1 market
12.5%
Top-5 markets
33%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.5
Very active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.4

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading2.2 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.33
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8%
Mid (20-55c)48.3%
High (>55c)43.6%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 1:15:25 AM163 trades$1,44851 min
7/7/2026, 10:05:40 AM100 trades$76415 min
7/6/2026, 5:28:14 PM74 trades$74016 min
7/7/2026, 6:34:55 AM52 trades$53113 min
7/6/2026, 3:57:07 PM49 trades$43516 min
7/3/2026, 8:36:20 PM16 trades$4254 min
7/7/2026, 7:45:38 AM50 trades$39428 min
7/4/2026, 3:46:29 PM44 trades$37348 min
7/7/2026, 12:53:56 AM47 trades$36816 min
7/7/2026, 8:33:23 AM22 trades$3059 min
7/6/2026, 5:15:53 PM25 trades$2957 min
7/6/2026, 3:31:37 PM40 trades$2888 min
7/6/2026, 1:56:47 PM18 trades$28513 min
7/7/2026, 5:56:44 AM23 trades$2769 min
7/6/2026, 1:19:22 PM33 trades$27311 min
7/6/2026, 11:03:02 PM27 trades$25722 min
7/6/2026, 4:18:17 PM17 trades$2485 min
7/7/2026, 7:32:26 AM20 trades$2438 min
7/22/2026, 5:15:18 AM9 trades$2437 min
7/4/2026, 4:40:28 PM18 trades$23120 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-06
07-14
07-22
07-26
07-30
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
92% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8 / M48.3 / H43.6