@quick-turtle

#3,056,92340

0xf434e8aee8c7f83ed0d7e36f281383ee1d99c6aa

~216d· 817 markets · 16027 tradesVol: $1,070,0342026-08-04 22:10:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

89% (701/786)20/20
0.60x (win $23,179 / loss $38,612)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2590/15
Sortino -1.2810/10
$-0.0218 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 114 (786 markets)10/10
152/177 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 996% of peak ($17,622 / $1,770)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 89%
DCA Master
Avg 23.1 entries/market
Whale
$709,307 invested
Consistent
152/177 profitable days
High Roller
$2,589/day
Win Streak
43 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,640,439$-12,494Vol: $631,770
🎭 CULTURE#2,884$2,227Vol: $292,255
💰 FINANCE#652,130$-672Vol: $34,532
📈 ECONOMICS#5,655$375Vol: $29,172
💻 TECH#1,819$685Vol: $27,187
⚽ SPORTS#60,884$431Vol: $25,748
📢 MENTIONS#4,199$184Vol: $14,586
🌤️ WEATHER#6,316$124Vol: $10,309
₿ CRYPTO#146,059$36Vol: $4,475

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,105
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,070,034
Total Redeem
$56,804
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
817
total markets
Trades
9440B / 6587S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-4
Vol: $142
Month
$-6
Vol: $142
All Time
$-9,105
Vol: $1,070,034

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
89%
701W / 85L events
Realized PnL
$-9,105
Win Rate
89%
701W / 85L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-501

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,449 (0.3787950346306177% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$1,420
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1,090
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$938
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$896
Netanyahu out by March 31?$739
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$682
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$651
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$644
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$519
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$482

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-14,161
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-5,221
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-5,040
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$-3,413
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$-2,220
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-1,697
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-1,291
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$-836
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$-713
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?$-593

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.027
HHI
134
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
58.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
22.4m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.0

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 166s — normal for humanCV 1.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock58 trades/day — mass trading3.0 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.06
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)97.3%

Sessions

#12
5/26/2026, 2:30:27 AM26 trades$18,4278 min
11/13/2025, 2:16:10 AM40 trades$15,92611 min
6/2/2026, 1:57:57 AM41 trades$9,6933 min
4/16/2026, 5:05:38 PM49 trades$6,9157 min
11/12/2025, 1:21:02 PM2 trades$5,5200 min
2/4/2026, 5:28:15 PM20 trades$5,4356 min
5/22/2026, 9:35:42 PM45 trades$4,78825 min
11/13/2025, 3:53:54 AM2 trades$4,2272 min
2/27/2026, 11:24:03 AM2 trades$3,9694 min
1/30/2026, 11:19:22 PM13 trades$3,61912 min
3/29/2026, 9:16:08 PM2 trades$3,1860 min
5/23/2026, 6:55:42 AM11 trades$3,1640 min
5/20/2026, 7:40:47 AM7 trades$3,1333 min
4/8/2026, 9:43:45 AM9 trades$2,9984 min
2/28/2026, 6:31:07 AM10 trades$2,90516 min
1/3/2026, 6:26:05 AM21 trades$2,85725 min
4/15/2026, 12:58:50 AM2 trades$2,8310 min
11/12/2025, 11:47:58 PM6 trades$2,7905 min
12/24/2025, 2:27:01 PM5 trades$2,7554 min
11/11/2025, 11:21:38 PM1 trades$2,7440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
12-07
01-05
02-04
03-09
04-20
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.06/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M0.9 / H97.3