r1stal

@r1stal

#2,399,6326

0x872d61102c4cf3f1d03808f603824b286ad1379d

~15d· 54 markets · 242 tradesVol: $4,471 @r1s_bounty2026-08-04 20:57:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

13% (4/31)0/20
0.15x (win $54 / loss $361)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.6750/15
Sortino -8.6320/10
$-0.6922 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1303 (31 markets)6/10
0/8 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($307 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
45% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
💻 TECH#246,199$-65Vol: $1,929
💰 FINANCE#39,405$21Vol: $1,563
CRYPTO#1,127,101$-9Vol: $383
🏛️ POLITICS#1,300,100$-12Vol: $344
🎭 CULTURE#122,085$2Vol: $193
📈 ECONOMICS#65,497$4Vol: $60

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-58
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,471
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
54
total markets
Trades
96B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $179
Week
$6
Vol: $290
Month
$-9
Vol: $1,057
All Time
$-58
Vol: $4,471

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
4W / 27L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
13%
4W / 27L
Profit Factor
0.15x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52 (0.9883897982489532% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?$32
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?$15
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 31?$6
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-235
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.00 and $5.00 on July 31, 2026?$-26
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$-21
Will Solana reach $80 in July?$-20
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-18
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.90 and $3.20 on July 31, 2026?$-8
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 24, 2026?$-6
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?$-5
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$-5
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.474
Sortino
-0.419
HHI
1527
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.910
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
37.9%
Top-5 markets
52.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.4
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 210s — normal for humanCV 2.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule13 trades/day — very active3.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.8%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)32.3%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 10:28:21 AM10 trades$2892 min
7/23/2026, 9:53:46 PM8 trades$2176 min
7/16/2026, 6:00:34 PM4 trades$1113 min
7/27/2026, 9:50:00 PM4 trades$963 min
7/24/2026, 6:44:25 PM6 trades$896 min
7/27/2026, 9:53:48 AM8 trades$852 min
8/1/2026, 10:41:12 AM9 trades$780 min
7/31/2026, 12:19:48 AM23 trades$712 min
7/24/2026, 4:45:27 PM3 trades$700 min
7/19/2026, 3:55:10 PM4 trades$652 min
7/27/2026, 10:25:37 PM9 trades$491 min
7/27/2026, 9:40:15 AM9 trades$487 min
7/24/2026, 7:18:13 PM6 trades$442 min
7/26/2026, 10:43:06 PM15 trades$4410 min
7/24/2026, 12:56:34 PM4 trades$432 min
7/23/2026, 9:19:12 AM4 trades$382 min
7/27/2026, 9:43:00 PM2 trades$360 min
7/26/2026, 11:48:03 AM11 trades$351 min
7/26/2026, 11:34:13 AM13 trades$344 min
7/28/2026, 10:42:52 PM6 trades$311 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-24 23:59:00
2026-07-30 16:00:00
2026-07-31 00:00:00
2026-07-31 16:00:00
2026-07-31 23:59:00
2026-08-01 04:00:00
2026-08-01 19:00:00
2026-08-01 23:59:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.94/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.8 / M22.9 / H32.3