rajugg

@rajugg

#2,725,29576

0xc1016d1bfc6244fd51fcf5c8dc1b10afc52be6d1

~152d· 709 markets · 3320 tradesVol: $310,9662026-08-04 17:19:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (247/607)5.3/20
1.72x (win $17,941 / loss $10,425)11.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.04215/15
Sortino 8.47010/10
$+0.1998 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 152 (607 markets)10/10
60/131 profitable days (46%)4/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($1,366 / $7,586)10/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
74% maker orders

Categories

9
CRYPTO#36,197$716Vol: $157,161
💰 FINANCE#654,730$-1,200Vol: $62,459
🏛️ POLITICS#30,470$404Vol: $59,998
🎭 CULTURE#790,480$-154Vol: $13,835
SPORTS#1,665,639$-92Vol: $8,091
📈 ECONOMICS#22,142$34Vol: $1,215
🌤️ WEATHER#219,523$-3Vol: $332
💻 TECH#227,370$-10Vol: $200
📢 MENTIONS#150,814$-32Vol: $80

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-217
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$310,966
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
709
total markets
Trades
2365B / 955S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-35
Vol: $0
Month
$14
Vol: $0
All Time
$-217
Vol: $310,966

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
247W / 360L events
Realized PnL
$-217
Win Rate
41%
247W / 360L
Profit Factor
1.72x
Avg Win
$73
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,695 (35.45834485300894% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?$5,644
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$1,168
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$884
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?$657
Space FDV above $40M one day after launch?$469
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$425
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$373
Perle Labs FDV above $200M one day after launch?$282
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$272
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?$227

Top Losers

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-479
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-288
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$-270
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-241
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-199
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$-196
Harmonix FDV above $25M one day after launch?$-192
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of January 2026?$-191
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-162
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?$-140

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.106
Sortino
0.371
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.243
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
12.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.8
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.58
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 474s — normal for humanCV 2.58 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active3.0 markets/day — normal74% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.98
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.6%
Mid (20-55c)22.8%
High (>55c)15.6%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 8:15:47 AM8 trades$2,8073 min
6/22/2026, 5:43:50 AM9 trades$2,6190 min
6/17/2026, 9:58:35 PM18 trades$2,0174 min
7/17/2026, 3:37:12 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/21/2026, 12:24:13 PM6 trades$1,8250 min
5/27/2026, 12:43:59 PM25 trades$1,24913 min
6/20/2026, 10:51:46 PM6 trades$1,0690 min
3/25/2026, 1:52:57 AM2 trades$9380 min
5/31/2026, 7:01:40 PM46 trades$8560 min
1/20/2026, 9:02:18 AM2 trades$8241 min
5/24/2026, 11:09:30 AM9 trades$7590 min
6/11/2026, 9:27:48 PM19 trades$6905 min
4/2/2026, 8:03:37 AM3 trades$6630 min
1/30/2026, 6:29:16 PM84 trades$64143 min
6/17/2026, 11:51:19 AM11 trades$5903 min
1/22/2026, 10:42:26 PM4 trades$5357 min
3/11/2026, 7:03:25 PM3 trades$5229 min
3/26/2026, 2:24:47 PM4 trades$5192 min
5/4/2026, 5:53:30 AM7 trades$4930 min
1/30/2026, 7:24:06 PM13 trades$47923 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-01
01-10
02-01
02-24
03-18
04-23
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.6 / M22.8 / H15.6