@ranchenno

#281,74785

0x9badd898022314f2a1052b60a1979131caf0201a

~24d· 41 markets · 361 tradesVol: $11,6552026-08-04 18:59:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (19/34)12.9/20
3.53x (win $2,555 / loss $723)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.99515/15
Sortino 57.99710/10
$+0.2360 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 2121 (34 markets)1.9/10
7/10 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($191 / $1,832)10/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+67
DCA Master
Avg 10.5 entries/market
Consistent
7/10 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#144,225$16Vol: $5,104
SPORTS#150,246$62Vol: $3,048
🎭 CULTURE#694,170$-11Vol: $2,206
🌤️ WEATHER#215,295$-3Vol: $1,197
📈 ECONOMICS#72,871$3Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$67
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,655
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
139B / 222S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
19W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$67
Win Rate
56%
19W / 15L
Profit Factor
3.53x
Avg Win
$134
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,233 (33.08549414728108% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?$2,022
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$132
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$79
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$64
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$41
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$32
Will Portugal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$24
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18

Top Losers

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-316
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-186
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-105
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-24
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$-20
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-20
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-16
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?$-12
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$-8
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.347
Sortino
inf
HHI
839
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.362
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.2%
Top-5 markets
50.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 111s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)19.4%
High (>55c)74.8%

Sessions

#12
5/27/2026, 7:56:25 AM6 trades$2,0083 min
7/19/2026, 5:56:58 PM32 trades$1,5361 min
5/31/2026, 4:11:57 PM16 trades$1,4845 min
6/14/2026, 7:27:25 PM3 trades$1,1000 min
7/1/2026, 12:48:32 PM14 trades$8884 min
6/19/2026, 7:37:25 PM14 trades$8652 min
7/16/2026, 3:26:47 PM4 trades$7680 min
7/1/2026, 3:36:16 AM35 trades$6060 min
6/11/2026, 12:49:04 PM3 trades$5030 min
5/16/2026, 5:57:54 PM4 trades$4002 min
6/11/2026, 12:59:58 PM22 trades$3697 min
7/10/2026, 8:19:26 AM4 trades$2853 min
6/14/2026, 6:42:21 PM29 trades$2336 min
6/4/2026, 2:44:00 AM6 trades$2282 min
5/31/2026, 4:25:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
6/2/2026, 9:13:02 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/1/2026, 1:19:58 PM2 trades$2000 min
7/9/2026, 7:09:55 AM2 trades$1910 min
6/13/2026, 5:44:58 PM4 trades$1681 min
6/5/2026, 10:47:46 AM2 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
05-30
06-07
06-11
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-19
07-01
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M19.4 / H74.8