@rar111

#277,89780

0x1bb734a860b0ad4f7e0ad58d5a884030a665543b

~107d· 127 markets · 501 tradesVol: $63,5132026-08-05 01:18:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (50/111)7.5/20
4.00x (win $5,276 / loss $1,318)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.00115/15
Sortino 23.97410/10
$+0.4469 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 900 (111 markets)8/10
34/70 profitable days (49%)4.6/10
Max DD 18% of peak ($701 / $3,958)10/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+70
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 18%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
📈 ECONOMICS#5,203$429Vol: $34,493
⚽ SPORTS#1,785,710$-412Vol: $16,882
💰 FINANCE#41,393$19Vol: $4,768
🏛️ POLITICS#1,434,779$-36Vol: $2,619
🎭 CULTURE#34,831$39Vol: $1,694
📢 MENTIONS#142,138$-18Vol: $48
₿ CRYPTO#707,410$-0Vol: $9

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$70
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,513
Total Redeem
$2,648
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
127
total markets
Trades
373B / 128S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$12
Vol: $866
Month
$15
Vol: $866
All Time
$70
Vol: $63,513

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
50W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$70
Win Rate
45%
50W / 61L
Profit Factor
4x
Avg Win
$106
Avg Loss
$-24

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,920 (70.13342836778331% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,525
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $63-$70 in June?$262
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?$133
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?$49
Will two people dissent the January Fed decision?$31
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$30
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$24
Will SOFR hit 3.78% (High) between March 1 and March 31?$18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$17
Will Christopher Waller dissent the next Fed Decision?$13

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-236
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-204
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-197
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 14?$-80
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-73
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$-62
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-58
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $77-$84 in June?$-52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$-49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-38

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.104
Sortino
0.958
HHI
693
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.397
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.8%
Top-5 markets
46.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
46.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2806s — normal for humanCV 3.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.7%
Mid (20-55c)20.9%
High (>55c)46.4%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 10:56:28 AM10 trades$2,1014 min
6/10/2026, 1:26:07 PM5 trades$1,0960 min
1/30/2026, 11:50:18 AM2 trades$8073 min
6/10/2026, 10:43:28 AM4 trades$7020 min
4/2/2026, 12:13:19 PM3 trades$6210 min
7/11/2026, 3:54:44 AM2 trades$5860 min
8/2/2026, 10:32:15 PM9 trades$5540 min
2/11/2026, 5:06:41 PM1 trades$5070 min
2/13/2026, 9:02:09 AM1 trades$5050 min
3/13/2026, 8:32:15 AM1 trades$3990 min
3/12/2026, 10:24:23 AM1 trades$3960 min
3/16/2026, 1:51:19 PM4 trades$3302 min
3/23/2026, 8:57:17 PM4 trades$3296 min
5/13/2026, 7:48:22 PM4 trades$3005 min
6/10/2026, 1:45:13 PM1 trades$2500 min
6/8/2026, 10:11:12 PM3 trades$2490 min
3/25/2026, 4:52:53 PM8 trades$2148 min
5/31/2026, 3:03:28 PM2 trades$1842 min
3/30/2026, 10:00:14 AM2 trades$1461 min
4/12/2026, 8:04:33 PM4 trades$1274 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
02-20
03-20
04-13
05-07
06-09
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 71 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.7 / M20.9 / H46.4