@raskolni…ntos
#101,063270x2f4fda022241ae1f7d435b80b9324649f5f2728a
~106d· 482 markets · 2105 tradesVol: $125,3352026-08-04 19:00:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (239/474)10.2/20
0.77x (win $10,784 / loss $14,037)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8310/15
Sortino -2.0780/10
$-0.0828 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 120 (474 markets)10/10
57/102 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 251% of peak ($5,408 / $2,156)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+667
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,822,487$-903Vol: $53,923
🎭 CULTURE#4,169$1,326Vol: $26,789
📢 MENTIONS#175,862$-1,731Vol: $9,576
💰 FINANCE#2,940$1,577Vol: $7,561
📈 ECONOMICS#4,535$534Vol: $4,591
₿ CRYPTO#1,170,332$-11Vol: $637
🌤️ WEATHER#5,250$174Vol: $517
💻 TECH#200,060$-2Vol: $70
Overview
#1Net PnL
$667
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$125,335
Total Redeem
$2,471
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
482
total markets
Trades
1421B / 684S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~106d
Periods
#2Week
$0
Vol: $25
Month
$-9
Vol: $1,323
All Time
$667
Vol: $125,335
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
239W / 235L events
Realized PnL
$667
Win Rate
50%
239W / 235L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-63
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,008 (3.0083304616214437% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1,058
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?$617
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$333
Will "Scream 7" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$327
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$297
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?$278
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$255
Will Davis Thompson finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Cognizant Classic in The Palm Beaches?$250
Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?$249
Will Trump say "Ukraine" during the State of the Union address?$220
Top Losers
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" or "Subscribers" during his next video?$-2,090
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,328
Will Arvell Reese be the second pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$-599
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-577
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?$-559
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?$-488
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-450
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$-400
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?$-390
Will UConn win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?$-336
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.095
Sortino
-0.084
HHI
93
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
13.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.3
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.9
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 348s — normal for humanCV 1.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — very active2.4 markets/day — normal20% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 4:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)22.8%
Mid (20-55c)41.1%
High (>55c)36.1%
Sessions
#124/4/2026, 4:00:15 PM51 trades$2,89313 min
6/26/2026, 8:52:46 PM57 trades$2,64218 min
6/28/2026, 9:32:13 PM22 trades$1,87013 min
8/1/2026, 11:57:45 PM9 trades$1,6631 min
4/16/2026, 4:19:22 PM33 trades$1,6096 min
4/10/2026, 6:26:17 PM16 trades$1,0616 min
3/19/2026, 8:56:03 PM6 trades$8484 min
4/14/2026, 6:04:13 AM11 trades$7513 min
2/20/2026, 3:45:28 AM1 trades$6920 min
4/15/2026, 7:02:42 PM13 trades$6765 min
2/6/2026, 5:30:07 PM9 trades$64511 min
4/22/2026, 12:06:48 AM13 trades$5891 min
2/1/2026, 11:26:36 AM2 trades$5572 min
3/11/2026, 6:31:29 AM2 trades$5564 min
3/23/2026, 4:11:17 PM6 trades$50210 min
2/26/2026, 4:48:18 AM4 trades$4395 min
1/29/2026, 7:15:28 AM57 trades$3865 min
3/26/2026, 7:35:57 AM1 trades$3840 min
3/26/2026, 8:36:33 AM1 trades$3840 min
3/27/2026, 5:36:31 PM4 trades$3697 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-06
02-23
03-14
04-05
04-25
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 129 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.31/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.8 / M41.1 / H36.1