ray1122

@ray1122

#2,734,96053

0x8eeb7381fbdf0ca19e84a3dc138e8d16cb1fa4d1

~217d· 3634 markets · 17315 tradesVol: $2,764,3552026-08-04 18:32:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

79% (2875/3630)20/20
1.05x (win $6,175 / loss $5,860)3.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3336.2/15
Sortino 0.3493.5/10
$+0.0002 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7 (3630 markets)10/10
177/215 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 607% of peak ($1,912 / $315)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 79%
Whale
$1,464,742 invested
Consistent
177/215 profitable days
High Roller
$6,233/day
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#76,435$143Vol: $2,742,603
SPORTS#1,780,552$-374Vol: $19,128
📈 ECONOMICS#554,235$-4Vol: $1,500
🏛️ POLITICS#249,626$3Vol: $1,004
💰 FINANCE#235,923$0Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-229
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,764,355
Total Redeem
$126,715
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3634
total markets
Trades
9105B / 8210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~217d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $9,152
Week
$13
Vol: $26,412
Month
$37
Vol: $41,775
All Time
$-229
Vol: $2,764,355

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
79%
2875W / 755L events
Realized PnL
$-228
Win Rate
79%
2875W / 755L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $268 (1.1741267333684395% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$111
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$85
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 8PM ET$72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?$64
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?$58
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?$49
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Netherlands?$47
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$45
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$39

Top Losers

Sentient FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-684
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 30?$-500
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 29?$-373
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 9AM ET$-231
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-225
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$-203
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-161
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$-135
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-132
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$-97

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.017
Sortino
0.008
HHI
7
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.7
Very active
Markets / Day
15.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
29.6m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
17 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 95s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock74 trades/day — mass trading15 markets/day — mass coverage49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.78
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.1%
High (>55c)92.4%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 12:02:45 AM150 trades$7,67959 min
4/27/2026, 9:55:18 PM43 trades$6,38310 min
4/26/2026, 9:41:42 PM35 trades$6,3538 min
4/30/2026, 9:01:00 PM52 trades$6,32511 min
5/2/2026, 10:39:28 PM52 trades$6,15321 min
6/12/2026, 5:15:21 AM61 trades$5,86356 min
6/4/2026, 4:38:13 AM74 trades$5,71438 min
5/13/2026, 6:32:18 AM38 trades$5,66521 min
4/25/2026, 10:50:56 PM63 trades$5,62820 min
5/6/2026, 9:54:26 PM29 trades$5,58815 min
4/27/2026, 6:39:12 AM43 trades$5,58125 min
2/5/2026, 7:09:57 AM3 trades$5,4986 min
4/30/2026, 1:27:18 PM24 trades$5,46212 min
5/4/2026, 10:01:26 PM24 trades$5,3287 min
6/12/2026, 7:25:49 PM49 trades$5,16823 min
5/4/2026, 5:48:18 AM64 trades$5,08425 min
6/10/2026, 5:44:19 AM57 trades$4,97027 min
6/18/2026, 7:15:52 PM76 trades$4,85634 min
3/31/2026, 10:01:23 PM34 trades$4,7759 min
4/30/2026, 3:22:48 PM19 trades$4,75112 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-13
01-18
02-22
03-29
05-15
06-25
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.78/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.5 / M4.1 / H92.4