@razzirazzi

#2,378,0389

0x474ad0c098627b0241631a545f782d904da0e53c

~10d· 28 markets · 98 tradesVol: $1,4112026-08-04 16:20:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (9/28)1.1/20
0.27x (win $56 / loss $212)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -11.5690/15
Sortino -9.9810/10
$-0.7809 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1144 (28 markets)6.8/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($156 / $0)0/10

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#277,186$-54Vol: $1,411

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-54
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,411
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
33B / 65S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
9W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-54
Win Rate
32%
9W / 19L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (0.6426711309523809% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$13
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 17?$11
Will the lowest temperature in London be 12°C on June 14?$11
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 15?$9
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 15?$5
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on June 17?$4
Will it rain in Boston on June 10?$3
Will it rain in Atlanta on June 10?$1
Will it rain in Dallas on June 10?$0

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 14?$-60
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 15?$-20
Will there be 5 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-20
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in June 2026?$-20
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-19
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 15?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 14?$-10
Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$-10
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 1 - 7?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.571
Sortino
-0.564
HHI
596
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.781
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.1%
Top-5 markets
43.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 67s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal34% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)54.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 9:10:39 AM7 trades$2143 min
6/9/2026, 3:36:46 PM8 trades$800 min
6/12/2026, 7:15:25 PM8 trades$720 min
6/7/2026, 6:53:00 AM6 trades$650 min
6/21/2026, 6:29:32 AM16 trades$481 min
6/14/2026, 7:11:43 AM2 trades$450 min
6/14/2026, 10:33:49 AM6 trades$451 min
6/8/2026, 9:19:01 AM4 trades$380 min
6/6/2026, 12:29:25 PM8 trades$363 min
6/16/2026, 7:31:57 AM8 trades$333 min
6/13/2026, 11:35:57 AM5 trades$180 min
6/10/2026, 7:39:30 AM7 trades$132 min
6/13/2026, 2:44:09 PM3 trades$100 min
6/13/2026, 2:57:24 PM2 trades$100 min
6/12/2026, 6:17:40 AM2 trades$100 min
6/12/2026, 6:30:27 AM4 trades$40 min
6/16/2026, 10:33:12 AM2 trades$40 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
06-08
06-09
06-10
06-12
06-13
06-14
06-16
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
60.7% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
66.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M27.3 / H54.5