@renfree

#2,842,79346

0x7b47cc99fa4d478de0c26489a6771aaf7fa9902d

~277d· 4650 markets · 27388 tradesVol: $578,8722026-08-05 02:28:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (4074/4641)20/20
1.02x (win $5,504 / loss $5,383)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1001.9/15
Sortino 0.1411.4/10
$+0.0004 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 10 (4641 markets)10/10
182/269 profitable days (68%)9.4/10
Max DD 168% of peak ($1,697 / $1,011)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 88%
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Whale
$291,410 invested
Consistent
182/269 profitable days
Win Streak
73 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,514,916$-154Vol: $326,095
🌤️ WEATHER#4,148$265Vol: $190,349
🎭 CULTURE#782,316$-103Vol: $31,062
🏛️ POLITICS#1,594,296$-461Vol: $23,296
💰 FINANCE#36,201$25Vol: $6,683
SPORTS#1,601,115$-52Vol: $1,128
📈 ECONOMICS#93,760$2Vol: $160
💻 TECH#60,022$0Vol: $77

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$578,872
Total Redeem
$566
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4650
total markets
Trades
20839B / 6549S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~277d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-479
Vol: $578,872

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
4074W / 567L events
Realized PnL
$-479
Win Rate
88%
4074W / 567L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,110 (2.3188968975242874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$778
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 22?$186
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$146
Solana Up or Down on December 3?$99
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$98
Ethereum Up or Down on November 27?$82
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 10?$59
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 17 at 5PM ET?$49
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 10AM ET$48
XRP Up or Down on October 27?$44

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-604
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$-391
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 1?$-189
Solana Up or Down on November 29?$-168
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 1PM ET$-148
Ethereum Up or Down on December 1?$-147
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 11AM ET$-111
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 3?$-109
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-108
Ethereum Up or Down on December 27?$-98

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.005
Sortino
0.004
HHI
8
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
1.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
78.3
Very active
Markets / Day
13.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
18.1m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
20 min
Avg Trades / Session
121.0

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 2.04 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock78 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.8%
High (>55c)62.8%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 7:32:16 PM70 trades$2,9986 min
4/25/2026, 8:49:46 PM515 trades$2,55127 min
5/16/2026, 8:53:25 AM372 trades$2,19815 min
5/4/2026, 6:28:30 PM394 trades$2,17143 min
5/7/2026, 9:48:54 AM152 trades$2,15424 min
5/13/2026, 8:21:21 AM16 trades$2,1464 min
1/9/2026, 2:48:16 PM24 trades$2,02526 min
5/13/2026, 8:16:24 PM323 trades$1,93316 min
5/1/2026, 1:19:22 PM258 trades$1,66734 min
5/14/2026, 6:49:17 AM148 trades$1,66433 min
5/10/2026, 1:02:16 PM75 trades$1,64218 min
5/12/2026, 12:03:36 AM13 trades$1,6240 min
5/15/2026, 9:47:18 AM101 trades$1,56616 min
11/17/2025, 4:36:21 PM71 trades$1,53647 min
5/14/2026, 7:57:57 PM290 trades$1,50917 min
5/13/2026, 7:16:31 AM16 trades$1,4853 min
5/5/2026, 10:50:42 AM169 trades$1,46838 min
4/24/2026, 6:19:16 PM346 trades$1,43717 min
5/11/2026, 9:38:58 PM12 trades$1,3972 min
4/27/2026, 6:26:40 PM236 trades$1,35013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-12
09-01
10-15
11-28
02-04
03-26
05-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 104 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
4% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.4 / M34.8 / H62.8