@revanchist

#3,050,19111

0x498abb90c40df06537c614dc97f78935317a5e7b

~58d· 31 markets · 634 tradesVol: $163,5332026-08-04 16:21:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (8/18)7.2/20
0.09x (win $2,072 / loss $23,002)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.2010/15
Sortino -9.0130/10
$-0.4798 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3789 (18 markets)0/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 3286% of peak ($21,586 / $657)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
77% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,089$-8,629Vol: $139,039
💰 FINANCE#2,799$1,686Vol: $19,494
📢 MENTIONS#3,279$283Vol: $5,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-6,660
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$163,533
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
31
total markets
Trades
387B / 247S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$-50
Vol: $0
Week
$-50
Vol: $0
Month
$-50
Vol: $0
All Time
$-6,660
Vol: $163,533

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
8W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-6,660
Win Rate
44%
8W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.09x
Avg Win
$259
Avg Loss
$-2,300

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,577 (0.23675952119257404% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$699
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during the State of the Union address?$529
Will John Fetterman applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$349
Will Trump say "Dell" during the State of the Union address?$253
Will Thomas Massie applaud during Trump's State of the Union?$125
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$85
Will Consensys IPO by March 31 2026?$27
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$6

Top Losers

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-10,646
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$-10,237
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$-596
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$-430
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$-329
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?$-320
Will Trump say "Minnesota" during the State of the Union address?$-179
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$-132
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026?$-130
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.503
Sortino
-0.422
HHI
772
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.865
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20.1%
Top-5 markets
47%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 322s — normal for humanCV 2.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.56
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)54.5%
High (>55c)23.3%

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 3:58:58 AM13 trades$9,7690 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:47 AM9 trades$7,6220 min
5/20/2026, 4:16:23 PM43 trades$7,0268 min
5/17/2026, 2:23:59 AM24 trades$6,8024 min
5/17/2026, 4:07:35 AM10 trades$5,0000 min
5/17/2026, 4:14:28 AM12 trades$4,0153 min
4/28/2026, 5:24:00 PM5 trades$3,9501 min
5/8/2026, 4:15:54 PM20 trades$3,0323 min
5/17/2026, 5:20:35 AM6 trades$2,7952 min
5/11/2026, 7:19:38 AM1 trades$2,6060 min
6/24/2026, 2:50:53 PM28 trades$2,5142 min
5/18/2026, 4:55:19 PM6 trades$2,1444 min
5/5/2026, 8:37:38 PM5 trades$1,8550 min
7/26/2026, 4:22:13 AM2 trades$1,7670 min
5/18/2026, 5:45:36 PM1 trades$1,6380 min
2/4/2026, 11:30:15 PM8 trades$1,28410 min
2/24/2026, 3:59:06 PM3 trades$1,2563 min
4/28/2026, 5:12:04 PM15 trades$1,1650 min
2/24/2026, 10:09:28 PM4 trades$1,1541 min
3/4/2026, 11:15:39 PM4 trades$1,0336 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-18
02-24
03-14
04-24
05-04
05-10
05-18
05-20
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 61 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L22.2 / M54.5 / H23.3