@rewardstrategy

#3,022,85322

0xb57eabe6b58d45ea003ed0c7379d41408b250b91

~10d· 612 markets · 2923 tradesVol: $168,0652026-08-04 20:06:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (214/440)9.3/20
0.65x (win $3,287 / loss $5,044)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7380/15
Sortino -6.5500/10
$-0.0683 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 97 (440 markets)10/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 1191% of peak ($1,918 / $161)0/10

Badges

3
High Roller
$2,574/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#297,366$-939Vol: $79,336
🏛️ POLITICS#1,588,813$-387Vol: $22,579
💰 FINANCE#650,704$-542Vol: $18,859
🎭 CULTURE#797,240$-234Vol: $16,545
SPORTS#1,744,792$-208Vol: $10,781
📢 MENTIONS#172,374$-393Vol: $6,765
💻 TECH#247,888$-85Vol: $5,268
📈 ECONOMICS#661,848$-111Vol: $3,569
CRYPTO#1,266,696$-20Vol: $577

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,994
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$168,065
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
612
total markets
Trades
1700B / 1223S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,994
Vol: $168,065

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
214W / 226L events
Realized PnL
$-2,994
Win Rate
49%
214W / 226L
Profit Factor
0.65x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $469 (0.1566537866820737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$229
Will Trinity Tatum win Love Island USA Season 8?$129
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$111
Will 5+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$101
Will Lionel Messi score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$86
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on July 7?$80
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$74
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$59
Will knight Win MSI Finals MVP$59
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 3?$58

Top Losers

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-1,612
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike by 25 bps at the July 2026 meeting?$-107
Will GamerLegion make a roster change before August?$-98
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on July 10?$-92
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$-90
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 8?$-73
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 9?$-72
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-62
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$-62
Will Colin Sutton win the 2026 Norfolk Police and Crime Commissioner by-election?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.335
Sortino
-0.309
HHI
51
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.099
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
11.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
292.3
Very active
Markets / Day
61.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
26s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 26s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock292 trades/day — automation61 markets/day — mass coverage58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.7%
High (>55c)73.8%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 6:21:56 PM5 trades$5830 min
7/6/2026, 10:39:19 PM4 trades$4740 min
7/6/2026, 6:48:38 PM13 trades$4422 min
7/5/2026, 2:01:50 PM43 trades$43525 min
7/5/2026, 10:02:34 AM19 trades$4187 min
7/7/2026, 8:03:22 AM5 trades$3940 min
7/9/2026, 6:54:49 PM29 trades$37612 min
7/8/2026, 10:30:20 PM18 trades$3458 min
7/7/2026, 1:34:52 AM4 trades$3390 min
7/8/2026, 5:59:22 AM24 trades$2879 min
7/6/2026, 11:11:34 PM4 trades$2850 min
7/10/2026, 1:46:23 AM22 trades$28412 min
7/6/2026, 9:39:16 PM10 trades$2780 min
7/10/2026, 10:34:17 PM20 trades$27712 min
7/8/2026, 6:59:14 AM9 trades$2761 min
7/7/2026, 2:23:19 AM3 trades$2720 min
7/6/2026, 9:15:25 PM4 trades$2640 min
7/10/2026, 7:32:49 PM16 trades$2608 min
7/8/2026, 9:00:01 AM9 trades$2512 min
7/7/2026, 11:18:01 PM12 trades$2494 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-03
07-04
07-05
07-06
07-07
07-08
07-09
07-10
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
40% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M19.7 / H73.8