@rgess
#2,878,083120x2c7a1ef8bab307827b76be8e5267d8c05b406875
~95d· 121 markets · 1795 tradesVol: $398,7042026-08-04 09:38:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (20/101)0/20
0.92x (win $19,208 / loss $20,791)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4660/15
Sortino -0.7450/10
$-0.0320 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 456 (101 markets)10/10
16/55 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 143% of peak ($8,371 / $5,836)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#11,865$1,934Vol: $349,043
💰 FINANCE#655,469$-1,572Vol: $32,927
📈 ECONOMICS#678,495$-941Vol: $16,455
🎭 CULTURE#765,258$-56Vol: $250
🌤️ WEATHER#42,166$2Vol: $30
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-634
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$398,704
Total Redeem
$19
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
944B / 851S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$-146
Vol: $1,085
Month
$-989
Vol: $8,175
All Time
$-634
Vol: $398,704
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
20W / 81L events
Realized PnL
$-658
Win Rate
20%
20W / 81L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$960
Avg Loss
$-260
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,568 (16.070439027357473% of PnL)
Top Winners
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$3,899
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$3,685
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$2,984
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$2,244
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1,271
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$1,061
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?$750
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 25?$620
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?$559
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$522
Top Losers
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-2,946
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?$-2,358
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$-1,320
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-1,269
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by April 30?$-1,131
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-838
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$-767
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-673
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$-537
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$-514
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.024
Sortino
-0.039
HHI
402
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
38.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
9.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.6
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 109s — normal for humanCV 3.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
14.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)62.1%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)15.9%
Sessions
#124/25/2026, 6:07:20 PM16 trades$15,1909 min
4/30/2026, 5:25:32 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/22/2026, 9:41:09 AM6 trades$7,5272 min
7/25/2026, 7:45:34 AM71 trades$5,24514 min
4/25/2026, 6:31:36 PM11 trades$5,1735 min
5/3/2026, 7:10:44 AM9 trades$4,2501 min
5/26/2026, 5:29:55 AM6 trades$3,9711 min
3/22/2026, 9:51:13 AM1 trades$3,7240 min
7/2/2026, 5:03:52 PM42 trades$3,7037 min
5/18/2026, 2:58:08 PM20 trades$3,6641 min
3/2/2026, 8:17:25 PM4 trades$3,6143 min
4/19/2026, 1:00:08 PM6 trades$3,2591 min
7/8/2026, 12:47:25 PM5 trades$3,2504 min
6/21/2026, 4:27:25 AM7 trades$2,9563 min
5/16/2026, 8:38:50 AM16 trades$2,5795 min
3/6/2026, 4:45:41 PM2 trades$2,5421 min
7/20/2026, 12:44:54 PM3 trades$2,5000 min
5/26/2026, 2:40:56 PM10 trades$2,1731 min
5/12/2026, 8:23:07 AM2 trades$2,1730 min
5/26/2026, 5:37:21 AM2 trades$2,0000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-22
03-08
04-04
04-29
05-20
06-26
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.62/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.1 / M22 / H15.9