@river-baby

#426,80910

0x0c5d271e066dee3ac5b46c5936a9417a6d1931e5

~42d· 183 markets · 367 tradesVol: $13,9692026-08-05 16:39:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (23/170)0/20
0.79x (win $622 / loss $787)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9130/15
Sortino -5.2620/10
$-0.1693 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 136 (170 markets)10/10
11/38 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($165 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+18
Lottery Player
76% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,659,548$-87Vol: $8,604
🎭 CULTURE#13,525$210Vol: $1,450
💰 FINANCE#37,733$23Vol: $1,427
💻 TECH#244,258$-50Vol: $557
🏛️ POLITICS#1,468,721$-51Vol: $540
📈 ECONOMICS#565,304$-5Vol: $182
🌤️ WEATHER#12,007$37Vol: $173
CRYPTO#1,152,064$-10Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,969
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
308B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~42d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-38
Vol: $1,840
Month
$-76
Vol: $2,233
All Time
$18
Vol: $13,969

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
22W / 148L events
Realized PnL
$18
Win Rate
13%
22W / 148L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $149 (8.116876024030585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?$53
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46
Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?$37
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?$33
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$28
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$28
Algeria vs. Austria: O/U 3.5$28
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026$26

Top Losers

AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón vs. CS Cartaginés: O/U 4.5$-35
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: 1st Half O/U 1.5$-31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?$-10
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 0.5$-10
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-10
France vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5$-10
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25?$-10
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-In$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.398
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
55%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1664s — normal for humanCV 0.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)55% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal3.8 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.98
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.3%
Mid (20-55c)15.3%
High (>55c)8.4%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 3:28:53 AM41 trades$2233 min
6/22/2026, 9:48:17 AM5 trades$840 min
6/22/2026, 6:47:20 AM5 trades$710 min
6/22/2026, 9:42:44 AM5 trades$520 min
6/28/2026, 1:52:28 AM2 trades$450 min
6/22/2026, 6:36:16 AM9 trades$405 min
6/22/2026, 5:36:19 AM4 trades$380 min
8/3/2026, 6:14:18 AM2 trades$340 min
6/22/2026, 9:53:23 AM2 trades$310 min
8/3/2026, 6:38:59 PM2 trades$200 min
8/3/2026, 7:46:24 PM2 trades$200 min
8/3/2026, 10:03:44 PM2 trades$200 min
8/4/2026, 2:01:54 AM3 trades$200 min
6/22/2026, 6:25:49 AM5 trades$200 min
6/24/2026, 12:38:46 AM4 trades$1511 min
6/22/2026, 8:59:43 AM3 trades$100 min
6/18/2026, 4:40:26 PM2 trades$100 min
6/22/2026, 4:18:25 AM2 trades$100 min
6/27/2026, 5:17:23 AM2 trades$102 min
7/4/2026, 5:38:02 AM2 trades$103 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-22
06-28
07-04
07-10
07-18
07-24
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.98/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.3 / M15.3 / H8.4