@riverskew

#58975

0xa804390f80019699ab34a282c0df7528fba82a75

~53d· 642 markets · 9842 tradesVol: $10,669,5542026-08-03 16:56:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (339/633)11.8/20
1.26x (win $1,457,257 / loss $1,158,375)5.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.54315/15
Sortino 7.71210/10
$+0.1423 per $1 invested7.1/10
HHI 78 (633 markets)10/10
33/53 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($105,676 / $298,882)6.9/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+353,104
Contrarian
76% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 15.5 entries/market
Whale
$2,100,255 invested
Consistent
33/53 profitable days
High Roller
$38,186/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#292$383,398Vol: $10,342,827

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$353,104
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,669,554
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
642
total markets
Trades
6707B / 3135S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~53d

Periods

#2
Today
$3,086
Vol: $74,377
Week
$3,086
Vol: $233,162
Month
$-8,978
Vol: $451,458
All Time
$353,104
Vol: $10,669,554

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
339W / 294L events
Realized PnL
$353,104
Win Rate
54%
339W / 294L
Profit Factor
1.26x
Avg Win
$4,299
Avg Loss
$-3,981

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $238,785 (0.6762458735957821% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will England win on 2026-06-23?$119,621
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$64,851
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$54,313
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Yankees$43,611
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$38,526
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5$36,129
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals$31,495
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert$30,947
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$26,288
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$26,075

Top Losers

Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?$-30,822
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobolli$-27,979
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-26,000
Grass Court Championships: Donna Vekic vs Alexandra Eala$-25,103
Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)$-24,653
Generali Open: Vit Kopriva vs Ignacio Buse$-21,548
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?$-21,200
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$-20,200
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$-19,600
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$-18,795

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.235
Sortino
0.301
HHI
43
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.144
Kelly %
6.0%
Half-Kelly
3.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
178.9
Very active
Markets / Day
11.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.3m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
42.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 2.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock179 trades/day — automation12 markets/day — mass coverage68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.3%
Mid (20-55c)61.3%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 7:30:50 PM83 trades$151,7930 min
6/16/2026, 11:40:55 PM39 trades$79,6030 min
6/23/2026, 7:59:41 PM38 trades$77,5600 min
7/20/2026, 6:09:37 AM124 trades$67,4667 min
6/23/2026, 9:46:02 AM42 trades$64,6503 min
6/23/2026, 11:57:16 PM103 trades$62,50711 min
6/16/2026, 11:49:16 PM52 trades$58,0492 min
6/24/2026, 11:54:32 PM53 trades$48,4476 min
6/17/2026, 8:03:20 AM99 trades$47,41314 min
6/20/2026, 2:34:47 AM17 trades$43,2470 min
6/24/2026, 11:43:25 AM2 trades$41,6670 min
6/14/2026, 9:47:28 PM32 trades$39,0002 min
6/26/2026, 11:19:47 PM21 trades$36,8012 min
7/9/2026, 11:33:46 PM7 trades$32,9910 min
6/21/2026, 5:09:43 AM31 trades$32,8990 min
6/18/2026, 4:58:29 PM111 trades$32,81130 min
6/24/2026, 5:47:28 PM28 trades$29,5171 min
6/20/2026, 2:33:13 PM179 trades$28,51824 min
6/26/2026, 5:57:56 PM3 trades$28,2690 min
7/22/2026, 10:44:36 PM21 trades$26,61210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-17
06-25
07-04
07-12
07-21
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.47/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.3 / M61.3 / H24.4