@robau
#3,068,205170x212f7fc77c18c6ce34bb1dae43e9198ab19b7fd2
~25d· 23 markets · 509 tradesVol: $482,5082026-08-04 16:53:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (9/19)8.7/20
0.29x (win $22,041 / loss $75,208)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6770/15
Sortino -3.7510/10
$-0.2074 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6626 (19 markets)0/10
8/13 profitable days (62%)7.9/10
Max DD 9672% of peak ($75,097 / $776)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 37.8 entries/market
Whale
$256,303 invested
Consistent
8/13 profitable days
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
3📈 ECONOMICS#683,103$-25,618Vol: $459,178
🏛️ POLITICS#24,118$619Vol: $22,414
⚽ SPORTS#198,646$31Vol: $916
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24,967
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$482,508
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
261B / 248S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
9W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-24,967
Win Rate
47%
9W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$2,449
Avg Loss
$-8,356
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,996 (0.8809806082821732% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$21,154
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$426
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$416
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?$14
Xi Jinping out before October?$11
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$9
Xi Jinping out by June 30?$7
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Japan in July?$3
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$2
Top Losers
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-69,293
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-5,804
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-70
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?$-20
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?$-9
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?$-5
30% EU tariff in effect by August 1?$-4
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?$-3
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
23181
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.112
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
149.1%
Top-5 markets
184.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 99s — normal for humanCV 6.08 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
37.84
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)41%
High (>55c)56.7%
Sessions
#127/7/2026, 8:40:05 AM4 trades$176,4312 min
7/13/2026, 11:29:35 PM23 trades$64,2066 min
7/14/2026, 12:38:32 PM72 trades$52,64612 min
7/23/2026, 12:51:18 PM52 trades$18,58412 min
7/15/2026, 12:16:25 PM2 trades$15,9570 min
7/24/2026, 6:38:22 AM7 trades$14,9550 min
7/15/2026, 1:38:13 PM7 trades$14,5968 min
7/14/2026, 6:45:32 AM26 trades$14,5086 min
7/14/2026, 10:16:49 AM4 trades$7,8422 min
7/14/2026, 10:25:05 AM9 trades$6,8250 min
7/14/2026, 12:57:32 PM2 trades$5,7790 min
11/27/2025, 12:20:21 PM1 trades$5,6830 min
7/24/2026, 3:56:16 AM6 trades$5,4562 min
7/24/2026, 5:46:09 AM8 trades$4,7663 min
7/14/2026, 8:16:43 AM34 trades$4,0000 min
6/23/2026, 11:51:13 AM21 trades$3,9114 min
7/14/2026, 11:11:32 AM2 trades$3,8690 min
7/15/2026, 3:16:53 AM4 trades$3,8660 min
7/14/2026, 6:58:11 AM29 trades$2,90914 min
7/31/2025, 5:40:15 AM2 trades$2,5362 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-25
07-30
08-01
12-19
07-12
07-26
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M41 / H56.7