roblesjaxon

@roblesjaxon

#146,93358

0xfafefd3be253577161c08fd55804c8e2db252ce1

~31d· 30 markets · 51 tradesVol: $9,9102026-08-04 22:21:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (7/27)0/20
2.67x (win $411 / loss $154)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.37415/15
Sortino 11.19710/10
$+0.0486 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 1084 (27 markets)7.1/10
7/27 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($75 / $285)8.7/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+295
Cool Head
Max DD 26%

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,408,006$-27Vol: $6,676
SPORTS#69,911$321Vol: $3,210
CRYPTO#718,783$-0Vol: $14
🎭 CULTURE#379,548$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$295
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,910
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
33B / 18S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $1,880
Week
$-2
Vol: $3,759
Month
$-2
Vol: $4,695
All Time
$295
Vol: $9,910

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
7W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$295
Win Rate
26%
7W / 20L
Profit Factor
2.67x
Avg Win
$59
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $339 (1.1517814726840856% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pacers vs. Pistons$128
Pelicans vs. Bulls$112
Rockets vs. Nuggets$100
Penguins vs. Canadiens$54
Pirates vs. Orioles$12
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$5
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-73
Buccaneers vs. Texans$-28
Thunder vs. Lakers$-22
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-22
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$-5
GOP wins popular vote by 0-1%?$-2
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?$-1
Fulham wins the Premier League?$-1
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.225
Sortino
0.503
HHI
16
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.429
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.0h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18024s — normal for humanCV 2.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)36.4%
High (>55c)51.5%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 7:32:57 PM2 trades$9430 min
8/4/2026, 8:09:59 PM2 trades$9430 min
8/4/2026, 8:16:30 PM2 trades$9370 min
8/1/2026, 1:09:59 PM2 trades$9360 min
8/3/2026, 7:27:53 PM2 trades$9360 min
1/15/2025, 3:11:17 AM1 trades$1070 min
1/16/2025, 12:16:47 AM1 trades$1050 min
1/14/2025, 4:19:51 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/13/2024, 1:56:44 PM1 trades$730 min
12/12/2024, 1:07:16 PM1 trades$610 min
9/15/2025, 12:48:00 PM1 trades$280 min
11/29/2024, 1:14:13 PM1 trades$220 min
10/1/2024, 6:43:08 AM1 trades$220 min
9/11/2025, 10:49:51 AM1 trades$160 min
4/17/2025, 7:08:13 AM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2025, 1:12:10 PM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 7:46:17 AM1 trades$50 min
5/8/2025, 12:10:15 PM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2025, 7:34:12 AM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2025, 1:16:57 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
12-16
02-24
04-09
04-30
05-12
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.1 / M36.4 / H51.5