@roflingbets
#3,068,196370x33efc86f50ecfbad41d0115945eb53c91282c498
~213d· 349 markets · 3624 tradesVol: $1,030,5702026-08-04 21:04:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
67% (226/338)18.4/20
0.61x (win $60,717 / loss $98,782)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9840/15
Sortino -2.2130/10
$-0.0969 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 240 (338 markets)10/10
86/136 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 1160% of peak ($43,916 / $3,786)0/10
Badges
7Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 11.6 entries/market
Whale
$392,785 invested
Consistent
86/136 profitable days
High Roller
$1,364/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8₿ CRYPTO#1,675,570$-23,141Vol: $392,882
🏛️ POLITICS#36,170$297Vol: $304,865
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,966$-6,272Vol: $198,322
💰 FINANCE#950$5,761Vol: $62,629
📈 ECONOMICS#678,352$-874Vol: $37,270
💻 TECH#3,226$278Vol: $9,338
📢 MENTIONS#153,323$-40Vol: $3,980
🎭 CULTURE#717,073$-17Vol: $2,163
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-23,936
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,030,570
Total Redeem
$12,854
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
349
total markets
Trades
2280B / 1344S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~213d
Periods
#2Today
$-2
Vol: $1
Week
$-169
Vol: $10
Month
$-412
Vol: $10
All Time
$-23,936
Vol: $1,030,570
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
67%
226W / 112L events
Realized PnL
$-23,936
Win Rate
67%
226W / 112L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$269
Avg Loss
$-923
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,184 (0.8850534182499402% of PnL)
Top Winners
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$12,182
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?$5,762
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$3,240
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$3,195
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$2,485
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$2,160
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$2,031
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,616
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,211
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$1,094
Top Losers
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-13,599
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$-8,037
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$-6,356
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-5,168
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-4,936
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,021
Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,845
England vs. Ghana: England O/U 0.5$-2,829
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?$-2,512
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5$-2,441
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.103
Sortino
-0.076
HHI
125
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
14.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 2.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 20:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.62
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)20.1%
High (>55c)67.6%
Sessions
#125/12/2026, 8:15:44 PM35 trades$88,5270 min
4/9/2026, 7:10:37 PM40 trades$29,0414 min
4/10/2026, 3:11:07 PM6 trades$11,6371 min
1/7/2026, 2:04:57 PM8 trades$9,9696 min
4/13/2026, 11:53:03 PM2 trades$9,1210 min
6/12/2026, 7:47:19 PM19 trades$8,73710 min
1/22/2026, 12:10:50 PM3 trades$7,2145 min
2/13/2026, 12:33:11 PM2 trades$6,9462 min
6/24/2026, 11:49:55 PM22 trades$6,1808 min
6/15/2026, 3:47:58 PM8 trades$5,7996 min
11/23/2025, 1:52:57 AM8 trades$5,6937 min
3/2/2026, 12:58:01 PM5 trades$5,4265 min
3/2/2026, 12:49:49 PM2 trades$5,2800 min
6/12/2026, 6:51:46 PM8 trades$5,2741 min
2/13/2026, 5:11:01 PM2 trades$5,1722 min
2/24/2026, 8:48:08 PM2 trades$5,0140 min
4/21/2026, 2:12:04 PM17 trades$4,9586 min
4/30/2026, 7:51:38 PM12 trades$4,53311 min
2/24/2026, 9:06:34 PM1 trades$4,4680 min
4/22/2026, 7:59:48 PM130 trades$4,4592 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
11-21
01-07
02-14
04-10
06-02
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 226 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M20.1 / H67.6