@rogermal

#2,939,30824

0xb51a38109c7bf90e077578bdaaae75864e5467aa

~19d· 130 markets · 707 tradesVol: $52,5152026-08-04 20:40:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (59/112)11.3/20
0.82x (win $882 / loss $1,077)0.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2280/15
Sortino -3.7230/10
$-0.0374 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 647 (112 markets)9.3/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 193% of peak ($434 / $224)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#293,392$-309Vol: $15,470
💰 FINANCE#647,475$-358Vol: $14,742
₿ CRYPTO#1,299,675$-25Vol: $9,088
⚽ SPORTS#1,707,075$-133Vol: $3,659
🏛️ POLITICS#1,524,825$-104Vol: $2,938
🎭 CULTURE#778,731$-94Vol: $2,796
💻 TECH#14,285$17Vol: $1,976
📈 ECONOMICS#626,417$-20Vol: $400
📢 MENTIONS#87,857$-1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$52,515
Total Redeem
$4,448
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
456B / 251S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $0
Week
$10
Vol: $2,041
Month
$-220
Vol: $4,465
All Time
$-1,106
Vol: $52,515

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
59W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-1,106
Win Rate
53%
59W / 53L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $357 (0.32270894726375354% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$199
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?$95
GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?$64
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?$60
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?$47
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 26?$34
T20 Blast, Women: Yorkshire vs Somerset$29
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on July 24?$23
Will there be exactly 4 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?$21
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$18

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$-398
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.30 and $2.60 on July 31, 2026?$-77
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$-65
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 23?$-31
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?$-30
Will the lowest temperature in London be 20°C on July 29?$-28
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-22
Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.164
Sortino
-0.185
HHI
499
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.041
Kelly %
12.4%
Half-Kelly
6.2%
Top-1 market
12.7%
Top-5 markets
46%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.8
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.9m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 410s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)61%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 3:31:04 PM17 trades$60910 min
7/22/2026, 5:11:13 PM14 trades$3271 min
7/23/2026, 7:28:07 PM12 trades$2253 min
7/23/2026, 12:11:34 AM6 trades$2213 min
8/2/2026, 6:40:48 PM33 trades$1703 min
7/23/2026, 11:53:54 AM5 trades$1681 min
7/23/2026, 3:19:46 AM20 trades$1540 min
7/23/2026, 8:08:39 AM14 trades$1524 min
7/23/2026, 4:13:22 AM6 trades$1431 min
7/23/2026, 3:22:51 PM4 trades$1381 min
7/23/2026, 11:20:09 AM6 trades$1271 min
7/23/2026, 4:30:39 PM6 trades$1120 min
7/21/2026, 7:35:15 AM24 trades$1115 min
7/23/2026, 9:49:37 AM8 trades$1094 min
7/22/2026, 5:38:24 PM5 trades$1053 min
7/23/2026, 3:37:28 AM5 trades$1051 min
7/21/2026, 5:10:16 PM2 trades$1014 min
7/23/2026, 3:16:34 PM3 trades$1000 min
7/23/2026, 11:55:10 PM10 trades$980 min
7/23/2026, 11:00:15 AM1 trades$960 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-03
07-07
07-22
07-25
07-28
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
12% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.2 / M31.8 / H61