@roguenation

#283,36281

0xf3fe914ec9c4ed70fbbd65e2059e69e94deef532

~25d· 88 markets · 338 tradesVol: $25,2742026-08-04 20:57:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (77/88)20/20
1.57x (win $916 / loss $583)9.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.77515/15
Sortino 4.17410/10
$+0.0519 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 152 (88 markets)10/10
19/25 profitable days (76%)10/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($302 / $605)4/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+66
Consistent
19/25 profitable days
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

5
📢 MENTIONS#154,110$-42Vol: $9,698
💰 FINANCE#21,137$75Vol: $2,859
📈 ECONOMICS#374,584$-0Vol: $286
⚽ SPORTS#356,954$4Vol: $244
🏛️ POLITICS#1,425,406$-32Vol: $216

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$66
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$25,274
Total Redeem
$1,004
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
88
total markets
Trades
101B / 237S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $67
Month
$-0
Vol: $970
All Time
$66
Vol: $25,274

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
77W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$66
Win Rate
88%
77W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.57x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-58

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $266 (4.004664459825459% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will MrBeast say "Prize" during his next video?$92
Will MrBeast say "Ronaldo" during his next video?$89
Will MrBeast say "Movie" or "Film" during his next video?$85
Will MrBeast say "Contestant" during his next video?$77
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next video?$64
Will MrBeast say "Sponsor" or "Sponsored" during his next video?$47
Will MrBeast say "America" during his next YouTube video?$32
Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$30
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next video?$28
Will MrBeast say "Cheat" or "Cheater" during his next YouTube video?$27

Top Losers

Will MrBeast say "Red Line" during his next YouTube video?$-321
Will MrBeast say "Channel" 2+ times during his next video?$-100
Will MrBeast say "Subscribe" during his next YouTube video?$-50
Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 5+ times during his next YouTube video?$-50
State of the Union Bingo - Card 2$-25
Will "Amen" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$-19
State of the Union Bingo - Card 3$-14
Will MrBeast say "Insane" during his next YouTube video?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.142
Sortino
0.113
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.052
Kelly %
2.4%
Half-Kelly
1.2%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
33
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 0.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.85
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3%
Mid (20-55c)9.9%
High (>55c)87.1%

Sessions

#12
6/13/2026, 4:00:10 PM63 trades$7560 min
6/27/2026, 4:00:13 PM41 trades$7280 min
6/9/2026, 5:00:13 PM21 trades$6250 min
4/4/2026, 4:00:13 PM33 trades$5460 min
5/2/2026, 4:00:32 PM30 trades$5230 min
5/16/2026, 4:00:11 PM24 trades$5210 min
6/23/2026, 5:00:55 PM17 trades$4830 min
5/13/2026, 1:16:30 AM28 trades$4580 min
3/13/2026, 7:00:07 PM6 trades$3020 min
2/24/2026, 6:00:52 PM9 trades$29410 min
3/7/2026, 5:00:15 PM6 trades$2550 min
7/25/2026, 4:00:13 PM8 trades$2540 min
2/28/2026, 1:25:51 AM5 trades$2440 min
3/10/2026, 5:00:29 PM4 trades$2400 min
3/3/2026, 6:01:15 PM4 trades$2000 min
5/6/2026, 7:10:14 PM4 trades$1220 min
5/27/2026, 8:45:42 PM4 trades$1040 min
7/8/2026, 7:00:47 PM4 trades$1010 min
2/24/2026, 6:32:10 PM2 trades$771 min
6/20/2026, 4:00:14 PM2 trades$770 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-16
02-28
03-13
05-06
05-30
06-23
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3 / M9.9 / H87.1