ronniegrob

@ronniegrob

#3,038,6683

0x549436e44ea706e3acffb03a95c55b06369485fe

~50d· 52 markets · 787 tradesVol: $532,858 @ronniegrob2026-08-04 18:55:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (6/41)0/20
0.05x (win $245 / loss $4,694)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.1770/15
Sortino -9.0150/10
$-0.5950 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1899 (41 markets)3/10
3/23 profitable days (13%)0/10
Max DD 4445% of peak ($4,552 / $102)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
89% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,623,985$-1,801Vol: $389,063
SPORTS#1,733,476$-186Vol: $74,387
CRYPTO#1,652,802$-2,160Vol: $42,361
📈 ECONOMICS#651,064$-58Vol: $21,434
🎭 CULTURE#758,397$-47Vol: $2,900
💰 FINANCE#639,589$-161Vol: $2,714

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,414
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$532,858
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
643B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Today
$-121
Vol: $0
Week
$-94
Vol: $0
Month
$-138
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,414
Vol: $532,858

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
6W / 35L events
Realized PnL
$-4,414
Win Rate
15%
6W / 35L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$41
Avg Loss
$-134

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $185 (0.04181024424613559% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$79
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$76
Will Xi Jinping be the next leader out before 2027?$30
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$21
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$19

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,486
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?$-771
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June?$-471
Trump out as President by March 31?$-346
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$-250
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?$-231
Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?$-127
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 16-22?$-114
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June?$-98
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.521
Sortino
-0.506
HHI
642
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.946
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.2%
Top-5 markets
44.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.0m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 3.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal68% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.15
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.4%
High (>55c)4.4%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 2:15:27 AM57 trades$17,73811 min
7/28/2026, 12:44:22 PM4 trades$2,0001 min
1/19/2026, 3:19:06 PM2 trades$6442 min
1/5/2026, 9:02:17 PM1 trades$5000 min
7/28/2026, 9:34:34 AM3 trades$5000 min
6/4/2026, 2:04:27 AM8 trades$3890 min
1/20/2026, 10:35:12 PM1 trades$3060 min
3/1/2026, 4:22:55 AM10 trades$2939 min
1/19/2026, 9:44:58 PM1 trades$2750 min
1/5/2026, 8:52:07 PM3 trades$2564 min
6/9/2026, 5:02:55 AM9 trades$2371 min
7/7/2026, 10:44:11 PM19 trades$2277 min
6/8/2026, 1:21:15 AM7 trades$2213 min
2/3/2026, 5:57:22 PM9 trades$1997 min
1/20/2026, 7:00:22 AM1 trades$1780 min
2/9/2026, 7:50:43 PM16 trades$16811 min
6/3/2026, 5:43:29 AM10 trades$1671 min
6/5/2026, 1:04:03 PM7 trades$1661 min
6/8/2026, 1:10:45 AM12 trades$1563 min
5/4/2026, 5:32:24 PM7 trades$1550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
02-02
02-11
02-18
02-27
03-19
06-04
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 158 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.15/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.3 / M6.4 / H4.4