rothbard90

@rothbard90

#611,11543

0x3acb4ece82fb43577cd47a0fed9e9361d84b8b8b

~4d· 8 markets · 26 tradesVol: $5472026-08-04 20:09:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (5/8)16.2/20
5.32x (win $8 / loss $1)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0158 per $1 invested0.8/10
HHI 5594 (8 markets)0/10
1/3 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 16% of peak ($1 / $6)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+3
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 16%

Categories

3
💰 FINANCE#80,613$4Vol: $413
🎭 CULTURE#540,244$-1Vol: $120
CRYPTO#499,069$0Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$547
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
15B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~4d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$3
Vol: $547

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
5W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$3
Win Rate
63%
5W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.32x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (2.244117647058823% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET$0

Top Losers

Will F1® 25 win VR Game of the Year at the 2025 Steam Awards?$-1
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$-0
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.462
Sortino
5.949
HHI
6835
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
29.0%
Half-Kelly
14.5%
Top-1 market
81.6%
Top-5 markets
99.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1614s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern8/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.25
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)53.3%
High (>55c)46.7%

Sessions

#12
6/23/2026, 2:53:02 PM5 trades$1660 min
3/10/2026, 6:54:53 PM1 trades$1610 min
12/26/2025, 3:18:49 PM4 trades$208 min
12/26/2025, 9:25:33 PM2 trades$200 min
12/27/2025, 11:36:45 AM2 trades$200 min
12/26/2025, 10:55:27 PM2 trades$201 min
12/27/2025, 12:15:39 PM1 trades$170 min
12/27/2025, 12:09:45 PM1 trades$90 min
12/27/2025, 12:52:19 PM1 trades$70 min
12/26/2025, 12:45:01 PM1 trades$20 min
12/26/2025, 12:50:41 PM1 trades$20 min
12/26/2025, 1:26:53 PM1 trades$10 min
12/26/2025, 1:53:47 PM1 trades$10 min
12/26/2025, 2:13:41 PM1 trades$10 min
12/26/2025, 2:26:47 PM1 trades$10 min
12/26/2025, 6:28:23 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
12-27
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M53.3 / H46.7