@roxyh

#2,500,90318

0xfb8dbd207cd757bb807f0783b72000a91bba821a

~52d· 588 markets · 1387 tradesVol: $27,7602026-08-04 15:18:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

18
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (240/587)5.4/20
0.94x (win $1,005 / loss $1,073)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8640/15
Sortino -1.1970/10
$-0.0406 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1326 (587 markets)5.9/10
25/50 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 144% of peak ($260 / $181)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#282,214$-79Vol: $27,464
SPORTS#1,033,257$-2Vol: $159
🏛️ POLITICS#1,117,933$-4Vol: $86
💰 FINANCE#262,564$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-86
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$27,760
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
588
total markets
Trades
618B / 769S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $40
Week
$4
Vol: $105
Month
$12
Vol: $200
All Time
$-86
Vol: $27,760

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
240W / 347L events
Realized PnL
$-86
Win Rate
41%
240W / 347L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $275 (3.1888168557536467% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 9?$109
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?$94
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 18?$72
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 17?$61
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?$57
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 13?$31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?$26
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on June 20?$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 17?$25

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 18?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 9?$-15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-12
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C or below on July 20?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 20?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 31?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 11?$-9
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 20?$-8
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 20?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.5
Active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
30.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 1831s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock24 trades/day — high frequency10.0 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)42.9%

Sessions

#12
7/18/2026, 9:51:40 AM3 trades$4,0000 min
6/28/2026, 4:00:34 AM22 trades$6810 min
6/16/2026, 11:56:47 PM7 trades$5300 min
6/17/2026, 2:34:12 AM2 trades$3000 min
6/30/2026, 6:58:25 AM7 trades$2110 min
6/20/2026, 4:43:53 PM2 trades$1210 min
7/20/2026, 9:53:18 AM10 trades$1190 min
6/16/2026, 1:51:28 AM6 trades$1140 min
6/18/2026, 1:02:50 AM12 trades$814 min
6/18/2026, 8:14:59 AM2 trades$810 min
6/19/2026, 8:13:17 AM7 trades$813 min
6/18/2026, 7:52:46 PM10 trades$814 min
6/21/2026, 1:22:46 PM5 trades$800 min
6/26/2026, 8:35:58 PM5 trades$784 min
6/14/2026, 6:08:58 AM4 trades$700 min
7/9/2026, 5:40:52 AM7 trades$642 min
6/14/2026, 4:51:34 AM5 trades$640 min
6/13/2026, 1:25:33 AM2 trades$600 min
6/16/2026, 1:00:58 PM8 trades$540 min
6/15/2026, 6:15:46 PM6 trades$520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-17
06-25
07-05
07-13
07-23
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.8 / M33.3 / H42.9