@rr-the-goat

#2,778,09627

0xa5cfd4b00a89d1fe0d3f8ff05e845af24cd039d5

~41d· 372 markets · 1557 tradesVol: $79,1622026-08-05 00:38:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (203/369)12.5/20
0.99x (win $3,067 / loss $3,109)2.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1590/15
Sortino -0.2350/10
$-0.0072 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 141 (369 markets)10/10
16/41 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 252% of peak ($842 / $334)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#279,333$-63Vol: $62,294
SPORTS#1,765,927$-292Vol: $16,699
CRYPTO#1,044,813$-5Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-296
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$79,162
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
372
total markets
Trades
708B / 849S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-101
Vol: $287
Week
$-19
Vol: $1,125
Month
$29
Vol: $1,605
All Time
$-296
Vol: $79,162

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
203W / 166L events
Realized PnL
$-296
Win Rate
55%
203W / 166L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-23

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $836 (2.822326460365134% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 23?$378
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 16?$309
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 16?$149
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 20?$116
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$109
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$97
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$94
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)$68
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 16?$63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?$60

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 23?$-200
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 16?$-136
Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 22?$-125
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-120
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 9?$-84
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 22?$-80
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?$-80
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 20?$-74
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?$-60
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$-57

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.008
Sortino
-0.011
HHI
159
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 757s — normal for humanCV 2.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency7.0 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.33
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.9%
Mid (20-55c)27%
High (>55c)51.1%

Sessions

#12
7/20/2026, 3:26:30 PM18 trades$1,1067 min
7/23/2026, 8:40:21 PM2 trades$6830 min
7/16/2026, 6:17:37 PM4 trades$5650 min
7/16/2026, 5:40:46 PM5 trades$5633 min
7/18/2026, 9:49:04 AM6 trades$3332 min
7/15/2026, 10:20:43 PM23 trades$2701 min
7/15/2026, 2:25:55 PM9 trades$2650 min
7/17/2026, 8:34:25 PM16 trades$2550 min
7/17/2026, 9:19:19 PM20 trades$2503 min
7/11/2026, 6:38:29 PM10 trades$2240 min
7/20/2026, 5:00:15 PM3 trades$2230 min
7/16/2026, 1:25:32 PM9 trades$2230 min
7/23/2026, 10:20:12 AM4 trades$2180 min
6/20/2026, 10:25:34 PM2 trades$2140 min
7/22/2026, 9:46:16 PM12 trades$1980 min
7/17/2026, 9:03:27 PM13 trades$1931 min
6/17/2026, 7:06:08 PM10 trades$1807 min
7/9/2026, 12:13:46 AM4 trades$1570 min
7/11/2026, 7:00:23 PM6 trades$1450 min
6/16/2026, 3:50:02 PM10 trades$1414 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-18
06-24
06-30
07-07
07-17
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 38 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.9 / M27 / H51.1