@rudy010

#3,022,42919

0xd8cfea147609ca225c1bb43918819ab81a2a1377

~26d· 78 markets · 411 tradesVol: $136,1542026-08-04 22:03:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (34/78)6.8/20
0.78x (win $8,921 / loss $11,375)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3920/15
Sortino -2.6350/10
$-0.0756 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 549 (78 markets)9.8/10
10/26 profitable days (38%)2.1/10
Max DD 6120% of peak ($4,216 / $69)0/10

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,865,815$-2,968Vol: $136,154

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,968
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$136,154
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
164B / 247S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

Periods

#2
Week
$-5
Vol: $663
Month
$-150
Vol: $1,602
All Time
$-2,968
Vol: $136,154

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
34W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-2,968
Win Rate
44%
34W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$262
Avg Loss
$-299

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,021 (1.0179381262676972% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$1,133
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,078
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$810
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$752
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$602
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$572
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$397
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?$371
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$257
Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score$254

Top Losers

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$-3,000
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,477
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Draw at halftime?$-800
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?$-400
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$-400
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-395
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$-318
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$-273
Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$-250
Will England win on 2026-07-11?$-246

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.123
Sortino
-0.115
HHI
1249
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.053
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
24.1%
Top-5 markets
63.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
46%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1234s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)46% night trades — never sleeps14/24 hours — normal schedule8 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)67.1%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 5:41:48 PM5 trades$3,9220 min
6/15/2026, 12:48:58 AM5 trades$3,9160 min
6/13/2026, 8:58:51 PM5 trades$3,5930 min
6/15/2026, 1:02:57 AM10 trades$2,8695 min
6/14/2026, 5:25:39 PM7 trades$2,5610 min
6/15/2026, 12:41:37 AM2 trades$2,1050 min
6/21/2026, 9:05:56 PM3 trades$2,0620 min
6/21/2026, 3:14:37 PM2 trades$2,0000 min
6/28/2026, 1:58:05 AM3 trades$2,0000 min
6/12/2026, 11:22:15 PM3 trades$1,8520 min
6/14/2026, 9:48:03 PM10 trades$1,8287 min
6/20/2026, 8:02:14 PM2 trades$1,6670 min
6/15/2026, 3:20:57 AM3 trades$1,0560 min
7/7/2026, 5:24:16 PM2 trades$1,0510 min
6/15/2026, 5:46:28 PM5 trades$1,0410 min
6/15/2026, 2:30:40 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/13/2026, 3:03:43 AM2 trades$9600 min
6/15/2026, 12:31:36 PM2 trades$6730 min
6/18/2026, 12:46:58 AM2 trades$5690 min
6/15/2026, 10:36:49 PM2 trades$5560 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-11
06-15
06-19
06-25
07-04
07-10
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M26.2 / H67.1