@russoke

#180,34849

0xd5a71b5ab8e72716e6ed99b53b3f2d6a1b68c4e7

~64d· 78 markets · 440 tradesVol: $63,7532026-08-04 19:45:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (21/72)0/20
1.74x (win $449 / loss $259)11.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.05615/15
Sortino 8.18310/10
$+0.0395 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 1696 (72 markets)4/10
12/36 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($130 / $320)5.9/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+185
Lottery Player
61% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#755,388$-42Vol: $33,986
CRYPTO#68,954$180Vol: $22,076
🏛️ POLITICS#1,297,747$-11Vol: $3,355
SPORTS#1,469,631$-21Vol: $2,106
💰 FINANCE#555,299$-6Vol: $1,650
📢 MENTIONS#6,607$86Vol: $581

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$185
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$63,753
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
314B / 126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$185
Vol: $63,753

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
21W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$185
Win Rate
29%
21W / 51L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $193 (1.0422428694900605% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?$75
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$69
Will Trump say "Turkey" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$50
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$47
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?$41
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$39
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?$36
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$34
Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$22
Will Bryan Johnson say "Trip Balls" or "Tripping Balls" while tripping balls?$12

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-29
ZachXBT investigation post over 12M views on day one?$-26
ZachXBT investigation post over 10M views on day one?$-24
Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?$-23
Over $275M committed to the Monad public sale?$-14
ZachXBT investigation post over 8M views on day one?$-14
Over $1.5M committed to the Cambria public sale?$-11
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 9 above $5.00?$-10
Will Trump say "Recep Tayyip" or "Erdoğan" at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?$-10
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-11-27?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.209
Sortino
0.374
HHI
1078
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.055
Kelly %
14.0%
Half-Kelly
7.0%
Top-1 market
31.2%
Top-5 markets
47.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 446s — normal for humanCV 3.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.54
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)10.5%

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 11:45:09 PM18 trades$1,5401 min
3/31/2026, 7:57:55 PM7 trades$1,2204 min
4/7/2026, 3:45:59 PM3 trades$1,1013 min
3/7/2026, 9:01:45 AM2 trades$5771 min
3/28/2026, 8:27:50 PM4 trades$3803 min
3/28/2026, 8:36:00 PM4 trades$3602 min
3/28/2026, 9:27:26 PM2 trades$3542 min
4/8/2026, 9:01:55 AM2 trades$3200 min
4/2/2026, 12:09:17 AM2 trades$2400 min
4/8/2026, 1:00:47 PM1 trades$1900 min
3/28/2026, 7:15:46 PM1 trades$1820 min
3/28/2026, 8:17:32 PM1 trades$1800 min
3/29/2026, 4:42:48 PM1 trades$1350 min
3/29/2026, 2:31:18 PM3 trades$1344 min
3/9/2026, 11:00:55 AM4 trades$1311 min
4/8/2026, 1:15:15 PM1 trades$1300 min
11/24/2025, 10:15:01 AM1 trades$1240 min
3/11/2026, 7:43:11 PM2 trades$1190 min
11/22/2025, 10:41:17 AM2 trades$1071 min
12/26/2025, 3:06:01 PM4 trades$1003 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-22
12-01
12-25
02-03
03-27
04-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.54/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.1 / M28.3 / H10.5