@rwefsarger

#211,43591

0xf3afac219223ebf9f4985bbdc1a25ace2378d07a

~33d· 59 markets · 91 tradesVol: $12,9262026-08-05 00:39:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

95% (54/57)20/20
13.62x (win $165 / loss $12)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.85615/15
Sortino 43.56710/10
$+0.0126 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 226 (57 markets)10/10
31/32 profitable days (97%)10/10
Max DD 8% of peak ($12 / $153)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+128
Consistent
31/32 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 8%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#65,866$11Vol: $5,239
₿ CRYPTO#97,525$98Vol: $4,646
💰 FINANCE#68,001$6Vol: $1,653
🏛️ POLITICS#159,462$12Vol: $896
💻 TECH#59,250$0Vol: $491

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$128
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,926
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
64B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $151
Week
$0
Vol: $151
Month
$0
Vol: $151
All Time
$128
Vol: $12,926

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
95%
54W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$128
Win Rate
95%
54W / 3L
Profit Factor
13.62x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $113 (0.8832265124277004% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?$52
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?$46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$15
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$8
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?$7
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $190 by end of February?$2
Ethereum all time high in May?$2
Will Biden finish his term?$2
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?$2

Top Losers

Bitcoin all time high in April?$-12
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.353
Sortino
inf
HHI
232
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
84.1%
Half-Kelly
42.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
12.0m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — normal for humanCV 0.59 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.65
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)96.9%

Sessions

#12
6/9/2026, 1:12:06 PM6 trades$6955 min
11/7/2025, 9:08:37 AM3 trades$6482 min
4/20/2026, 2:31:56 AM5 trades$6151 min
5/8/2026, 12:01:50 PM4 trades$5112 min
1/14/2026, 2:48:48 PM3 trades$5101 min
10/8/2025, 1:41:46 PM3 trades$5051 min
7/9/2025, 5:33:16 PM2 trades$5002 min
8/15/2025, 6:15:40 AM2 trades$5001 min
9/5/2025, 11:17:18 AM2 trades$5001 min
3/3/2026, 6:18:35 AM2 trades$5001 min
2/6/2026, 3:39:33 PM2 trades$4991 min
12/15/2025, 4:02:09 PM4 trades$4933 min
11/21/2025, 7:30:37 PM2 trades$4851 min
1/23/2026, 2:50:30 AM2 trades$4352 min
4/8/2025, 7:52:45 AM3 trades$4281 min
6/23/2026, 7:10:32 AM8 trades$4022 min
4/7/2026, 1:27:13 PM2 trades$4000 min
12/29/2024, 5:15:52 AM1 trades$4000 min
2/9/2026, 7:43:03 AM1 trades$3590 min
1/15/2025, 6:32:43 AM2 trades$3543 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
04-23
08-15
12-15
03-03
05-08
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M3.1 / H96.9