@sacapara

#2,696,34044

0xf686243253b6db7297f92e733401f699de29c793

~51d· 485 markets · 2974 tradesVol: $106,9742026-08-04 18:20:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (208/477)6.8/20
1.15x (win $1,565 / loss $1,367)4.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.56915/15
Sortino 3.86810/10
$+0.0420 per $1 invested2.1/10
HHI 5016 (477 markets)0/10
16/45 profitable days (36%)1.4/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($178 / $363)4.2/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#720,561$-19Vol: $42,763
📢 MENTIONS#153,120$-39Vol: $42,081
SPORTS#374,029$3Vol: $10,552
CRYPTO#1,484,328$-110Vol: $10,142
🏛️ POLITICS#1,364,947$-19Vol: $1,375
💰 FINANCE#552,874$-6Vol: $53
💻 TECH#169,960$-0Vol: $8

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-190
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$106,974
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
485
total markets
Trades
1536B / 1438S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$30
Vol: $0
Week
$16
Vol: $22
Month
$15
Vol: $22
All Time
$-190
Vol: $106,974

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
208W / 269L events
Realized PnL
$-190
Win Rate
44%
208W / 269L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $386 (2.032785157073582% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$254
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$78
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$52
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$39
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$31

Top Losers

Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$-76
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$-46
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$-23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.210
HHI
42
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.3
Active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.0m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 66s — normal for humanCV 1.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency5.3 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.3%
Mid (20-55c)46.9%
High (>55c)39.8%

Sessions

#12
5/17/2026, 10:23:54 PM2 trades$32,0000 min
5/17/2026, 9:44:15 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/22/2026, 1:30:33 PM2 trades$4,1000 min
5/18/2026, 11:59:43 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/1/2026, 9:18:18 PM35 trades$44619 min
4/30/2026, 10:52:46 PM26 trades$38016 min
5/12/2026, 3:49:25 PM26 trades$36318 min
5/1/2026, 8:11:40 AM40 trades$34012 min
5/1/2026, 8:55:28 PM26 trades$29313 min
5/1/2026, 2:48:50 PM37 trades$26920 min
5/7/2026, 6:04:15 PM54 trades$26121 min
5/3/2026, 1:45:34 PM64 trades$25744 min
5/1/2026, 3:51:54 PM21 trades$2315 min
5/2/2026, 6:58:18 AM30 trades$2188 min
5/5/2026, 7:11:56 PM56 trades$21627 min
5/5/2026, 6:58:46 PM27 trades$2148 min
5/6/2026, 7:35:03 PM61 trades$20632 min
5/1/2026, 2:24:10 PM33 trades$18718 min
5/11/2026, 10:54:54 AM24 trades$16011 min
5/6/2026, 10:50:06 AM50 trades$15838 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-07
05-14
05-30
06-18
06-25
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.26/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L13.3 / M46.9 / H39.8