@sardari

#2,888,8877

0xc4a57bada6402ec9d1dbb1de5e4980ed15023d92

~26d· 37 markets · 119 tradesVol: $17,369 @mostafa_sardari2026-08-04 17:35:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (15/37)5.3/20
0.71x (win $291 / loss $410)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3630/15
Sortino -2.9850/10
$-0.2069 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2800 (37 markets)0/10
9/24 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 539% of peak ($230 / $43)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
47% entries < $0.20

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,465,593$-50Vol: $8,536
⚽ SPORTS#1,804,552$-593Vol: $7,163
💻 TECH#243,682$-49Vol: $1,611
💰 FINANCE#562,881$-8Vol: $59

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,369
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
60B / 59S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
15W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-699
Win Rate
41%
15W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.71x
Avg Win
$19
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $172 (0.2453485877726135% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$67
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$60
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$45
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$25
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$19
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?$18
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance$11
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$10
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?$8

Top Losers

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-143
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-30
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-30
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-21
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$-20
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-20
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?$-19
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-16
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.121
Sortino
-0.151
HHI
2012
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.170
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42%
Top-5 markets
62.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.6h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4483s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.49
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)46.7%
Mid (20-55c)26.7%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 1:06:43 PM6 trades$5700 min
6/21/2026, 12:54:13 PM2 trades$1250 min
6/19/2026, 10:20:23 AM4 trades$980 min
7/6/2026, 9:46:16 PM7 trades$833 min
6/26/2026, 8:57:19 PM6 trades$661 min
7/6/2026, 10:22:25 PM7 trades$591 min
7/4/2026, 9:02:11 PM4 trades$580 min
6/26/2026, 8:00:19 PM5 trades$511 min
6/21/2026, 2:08:56 PM6 trades$472 min
6/23/2026, 6:52:08 AM2 trades$400 min
6/24/2026, 8:44:49 PM4 trades$400 min
6/27/2026, 6:58:47 AM2 trades$370 min
6/29/2026, 5:35:02 PM2 trades$320 min
2/6/2026, 4:14:37 PM1 trades$300 min
2/3/2026, 8:08:08 PM1 trades$290 min
6/27/2026, 7:27:43 AM4 trades$291 min
6/24/2026, 9:46:23 AM2 trades$280 min
2/6/2026, 2:19:03 PM1 trades$250 min
6/22/2026, 4:34:55 PM2 trades$240 min
7/6/2026, 5:13:23 PM3 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-01
02-21
06-21
06-25
06-29
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 7 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.49/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L46.7 / M26.7 / H26.7