@scotthayden

#1,988,60514

0x57a7991c424a5da05449c869f51c645412c14845

~37d· 69 markets · 131 tradesVol: $8,6502026-08-05 01:06:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (30/69)6.7/20
0.22x (win $4 / loss $20)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8830/15
Sortino -4.7380/10
$-0.0039 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1612 (69 markets)4.4/10
15/36 profitable days (42%)2.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($16 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
⚽ SPORTS#1,430,565$-17Vol: $6,862
🎭 CULTURE#497,369$-1Vol: $1,441
₿ CRYPTO#524,397$0Vol: $111
💰 FINANCE#203,832$0Vol: $101
💻 TECH#67,098$0Vol: $57
🏛️ POLITICS#554,438$0Vol: $3
🌤️ WEATHER#150,175$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,650
Total Redeem
$21
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
69
total markets
Trades
81B / 50S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~37d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $8,650

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
30W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
43%
30W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2 (0.12626903553299493% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Tuesday?$1
Mavericks vs. Kings$1
Bulls vs. Wizards$0
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$0
Bulls vs. Hawks$0
Will 'Stardew Valley' win Labor of Love in the 2024 Steam Awards?$0
Pistons vs. Nuggets$0
Utah vs. Kraken$0
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings$0
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $140 end of April?$0

Top Losers

Senators vs. Jets$-10
Cavaliers vs. Lakers$-3
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-3
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2025?$-1
Manchester City wins the Premier League?$-1
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Chelsea wins the Premier League?$-1
Will Magnus Carlsen win the World Rapid Championship?$-0
Knicks vs. Magic$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.252
Sortino
-0.122
HHI
1541
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
22.0%
Half-Kelly
11.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
87.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 918s — normal for humanCV 3.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.9
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.5%
Mid (20-55c)28.4%
High (>55c)69.1%

Sessions

#12
3/25/2025, 9:02:02 PM3 trades$7191 min
3/25/2025, 9:58:32 PM1 trades$7170 min
3/25/2025, 10:30:58 PM1 trades$7160 min
3/25/2025, 6:37:28 PM1 trades$7150 min
3/26/2025, 4:11:47 AM1 trades$7150 min
3/26/2025, 5:33:25 AM1 trades$7140 min
3/26/2025, 12:22:02 AM1 trades$7090 min
3/26/2025, 12:39:50 AM1 trades$7080 min
3/26/2025, 2:16:15 AM1 trades$7040 min
3/26/2025, 3:16:07 AM1 trades$7040 min
12/26/2024, 5:47:00 PM2 trades$452 min
7/22/2026, 2:10:21 AM2 trades$370 min
12/27/2024, 5:16:36 PM2 trades$371 min
12/30/2024, 7:19:18 AM2 trades$365 min
12/30/2024, 8:21:36 AM2 trades$273 min
12/29/2024, 8:59:52 AM2 trades$252 min
11/26/2025, 12:40:35 PM1 trades$220 min
6/22/2026, 1:25:49 PM4 trades$210 min
10/18/2025, 3:48:39 AM1 trades$200 min
12/27/2024, 5:29:20 AM2 trades$204 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
01-08
01-30
03-28
06-25
03-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.5 / M28.4 / H69.1