@sebbmar

#2,365,13510

0x48001ca67a80ffcc198e7bb9be6596e02cb18159

~56d· 79 markets · 386 tradesVol: $3,1362026-08-04 18:54:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

22% (16/74)0/20
0.40x (win $144 / loss $356)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9680/15
Sortino -6.0830/10
$-0.3755 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 346 (74 markets)10/10
11/40 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 1365% of peak ($229 / $17)0/10

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,399,965$-25Vol: $1,475
💰 FINANCE#599,669$-23Vol: $742
🎭 CULTURE#649,123$-5Vol: $456
💻 TECH#192,398$-1Vol: $297
⚽ SPORTS#393,401$2Vol: $77
📈 ECONOMICS#106,447$1Vol: $68
📢 MENTIONS#90,021$-1Vol: $13
₿ CRYPTO#454,829$1Vol: $7

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-51
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,136
Total Redeem
$3
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
182B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-51
Vol: $3,136

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
22%
16W / 58L events
Realized PnL
$-51
Win Rate
22%
16W / 58L
Profit Factor
0.4x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $71 (1.387259662070305% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $156 in May?$32
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$24
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?$15
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?$12
Will OpenAI have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?$11
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 14, 2026?$8
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?$6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$6
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $304 in May?$5
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$5

Top Losers

Will Jared Kushner attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?$-35
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by May 31, 2026?$-23
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?$-20
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-19
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?$-16
Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 Euroleague?$-16
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$-15
Will Trump praise Delcy Rodriguez by June 30?$-13
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?$-13
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.308
Sortino
-0.307
HHI
176
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.387
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.4%
Top-5 markets
15.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.8h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10491s — normal for humanCV 0.69 — diverse sizes (human-like)40% night trades — never sleeps19/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.92
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)22%
High (>55c)51.1%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 6:36:53 AM14 trades$1210 min
6/24/2026, 2:02:20 PM4 trades$1080 min
6/24/2026, 7:19:19 AM4 trades$1040 min
5/9/2026, 6:08:15 AM10 trades$870 min
6/19/2026, 12:21:55 PM11 trades$810 min
5/15/2026, 4:43:06 AM5 trades$780 min
6/20/2026, 6:29:29 AM10 trades$582 min
5/14/2026, 6:00:56 AM6 trades$550 min
6/20/2026, 11:06:32 AM11 trades$510 min
5/14/2026, 5:32:33 AM6 trades$491 min
6/12/2026, 8:51:55 AM6 trades$480 min
5/6/2026, 5:24:56 AM12 trades$441 min
5/11/2026, 4:51:35 AM11 trades$430 min
6/7/2026, 8:54:42 AM6 trades$404 min
4/28/2026, 4:47:26 AM11 trades$400 min
5/7/2026, 4:52:19 AM10 trades$380 min
6/17/2026, 5:04:25 AM6 trades$333 min
6/19/2026, 5:29:23 PM5 trades$310 min
7/8/2026, 4:51:38 AM3 trades$300 min
6/13/2026, 4:29:31 AM5 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-25
05-07
05-13
05-21
06-18
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 82 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
52.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.92/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M22 / H51.1