Polydata

@sei-ddev

#37,85082

0xa96993a1e5e6c7de1f26018bde812ceaec50be4a

77d· 3508 markets · 1896 tradesVol: $123,467 @ajee3352026-06-18T11:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 2950.61x15/15
Sharpe 0.4118/15
Sortino 0.5235/10
EV $+0.1055/10
HHI 1010/10
Profit Days 79%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Sei-ddev is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 1,896 trades executed across 1,216 markets over 75 days. They currently rank #37,850 on the global PnL leaderboard, having achieved a net profit of $2,735.09. Their trading volume totals $123,467, and their smart score of 82/100 indicates very good overall performance. Despite a portfolio value of zero at the moment, sei-ddev maintains a consistent upward equity trend and has not experienced any drawdown duration.

The trading style of sei-ddev is characterized by a strong preference for high-frequency activity with a nearly perfect win rate of 99.9%. Their profit factor of 2950.61 suggests an extremely effective risk-reward ratio, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.41 indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns. Sei-ddev shows no engagement with weather markets and has a sell percentage of 0%, implying a buy-and-hold or long-position bias. Their smart score and badges such as "Sniper" and "Diamond Hands" reflect a strategy focused on precision entry and holding winning positions for maximum gain.

Sei-ddev’s key strengths lie in their exceptional win rate and profit factor, signaling a highly profitable and consistent approach on Polymarket. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and semi-bot score of 55/100 suggest some reliance on automated tools blended with manual decisions, which could pose risks if market conditions shift. Additionally, the zero sell percentage may expose the trader to downside risks during sudden market reversals. Overall, sei-ddev demonstrates strong performance metrics but should monitor drawdown potential and market adaptability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+2,735
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
730 wins in a row
Whale
$52,078
Consistent
52/66 days
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#15,456$2,735Vol: $123,467

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,735
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$123,467
Total Redeem
$53,930
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3508
total markets
Trades
1895B / 1S
Daily Volume
$694
Account Age
77d
since Apr 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$58
Vol: $428
Week
$272
Vol: $5,057
Month
$667
Vol: $18,406
All Time
$2,735
Vol: $123,467

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
68%
250W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$4,671
Win Rate
100%
1053W / 1L
Profit Factor
2950.61x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $182 (3.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$63
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$46

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.411
Sortino
0.523
HHI
10
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.105
Kelly %
99.9%
Half-Kelly
49.9%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.9
Active
Markets / Day
24.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1199s — typical for humanSize CV 0.87 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.28 — human randomness38 trades/day — suspiciously high24 markets/day — mass coverage367 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
905 entries
<=2
1054 entries
<=5
1189 entries
<=10
1213 entries
<=20
1216 entries
<=50
1216 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)81%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Other$5,144

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1216

Single bracket

<=1
1216 brackets
<=2
1216 brackets
<=3
1216 brackets
<=4
1216 brackets
<=5
1216 brackets
<=8
1216 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 9:00:06 AM2 trades$250 min
4/29/2026, 12:10:04 PM1 trades$270 min
4/29/2026, 6:45:12 PM1 trades$00 min
4/30/2026, 7:20:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/30/2026, 10:21:04 AM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2026, 3:15:14 PM1 trades$260 min
4/30/2026, 3:30:28 PM1 trades$310 min
4/30/2026, 4:25:04 PM1 trades$330 min
4/30/2026, 4:45:16 PM1 trades$80 min
4/30/2026, 5:30:22 PM2 trades$120 min
4/30/2026, 6:00:24 PM3 trades$40 min
4/30/2026, 6:30:06 PM1 trades$280 min
4/30/2026, 6:50:06 PM1 trades$80 min
4/30/2026, 7:00:20 PM1 trades$290 min
4/30/2026, 7:30:12 PM1 trades$50 min
4/30/2026, 7:40:16 PM2 trades$100 min
4/30/2026, 8:05:12 PM1 trades$70 min
4/30/2026, 8:30:12 PM7 trades$640 min
4/30/2026, 9:10:16 PM1 trades$410 min
4/30/2026, 9:20:18 PM1 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-15
04-28
05-12
05-23
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event