senzer

@senzer

#38,57187

0x7b5887dcffa32af1ec155a8835c48b4e948aeb2b

~270d· 550 markets · 6275 tradesVol: $1,456,416 @senzer2026-08-04 12:20:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (360/512)20/20
1.81x (win $33,173 / loss $18,349)12.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.38515/15
Sortino 4.03110/10
$+0.0388 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 307 (512 markets)10/10
140/198 profitable days (71%)10/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($7,109 / $21,574)7.4/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Profitable
PnL $+2,930
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 15.8 entries/market
Whale
$382,395 invested
Consistent
140/198 profitable days
High Roller
$1,199/day
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

9
SPORTS#105,605$133Vol: $492,332
🏛️ POLITICS#8,635$3,147Vol: $487,827
🎭 CULTURE#30,967$49Vol: $184,202
📈 ECONOMICS#674,263$-400Vol: $165,185
CRYPTO#44,685$465Vol: $71,052
💰 FINANCE#41,274$19Vol: $19,649
💻 TECH#233,287$-17Vol: $15,827
📢 MENTIONS#13,065$25Vol: $2,316
🌤️ WEATHER#12,041$39Vol: $985

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,945
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,456,416
Total Redeem
$1,725
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
550
total markets
Trades
3791B / 2484S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~270d

Periods

#2
Today
$18
Vol: $215
Week
$4
Vol: $715
Month
$116
Vol: $1,251
All Time
$2,945
Vol: $1,456,416

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
360W / 152L events
Realized PnL
$2,930
Win Rate
70%
360W / 152L
Profit Factor
1.81x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-125

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,405 (6.623051587911057% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$9,227
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$9,168
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1,010
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$927
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$808
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$633
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$620
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$527
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$498
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$466

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-3,798
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,424
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-1,201
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,127
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$-969
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$-784
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-730
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-660
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-615
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-548

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.072
Sortino
0.125
HHI
303
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.7%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
19.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock20 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.81
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)56.9%

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 12:36:44 PM132 trades$9,4728 min
5/5/2026, 5:02:38 AM15 trades$7,0767 min
4/28/2026, 1:22:50 PM3 trades$5,3251 min
3/23/2026, 11:18:33 AM4 trades$4,9278 min
1/29/2026, 4:00:02 PM3 trades$4,2013 min
2/21/2026, 8:23:58 AM18 trades$3,76928 min
4/28/2026, 1:03:26 PM2 trades$3,5820 min
3/2/2026, 3:07:59 PM56 trades$3,14822 min
1/25/2026, 8:38:32 PM13 trades$3,08510 min
2/13/2026, 2:48:21 PM3 trades$2,9254 min
2/2/2026, 12:46:30 PM5 trades$2,77810 min
4/28/2026, 12:53:00 PM4 trades$2,7751 min
12/24/2025, 4:08:35 PM2 trades$2,6295 min
2/19/2026, 8:40:34 PM13 trades$2,26711 min
1/29/2026, 4:13:30 PM2 trades$2,2231 min
6/28/2026, 7:54:52 AM22 trades$2,1618 min
1/29/2026, 2:11:34 PM2 trades$2,1313 min
2/17/2026, 11:03:41 PM1 trades$2,1250 min
2/18/2026, 4:42:52 PM13 trades$2,0868 min
7/7/2026, 7:12:01 AM10 trades$2,0581 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-21
11-15
01-03
02-12
04-06
06-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.81/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L33.9 / M9.2 / H56.9