@sepehrs

#79,41662

0xcbcf1b4487ce8553b8205439db04603bbeadba89

~126d· 950 markets · 2513 tradesVol: $75,4642026-08-04 19:47:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (484/938)10.8/20
1.31x (win $5,792 / loss $4,408)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06415/15
Sortino 1.58810/10
$+0.0642 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 851 (938 markets)8.2/10
63/111 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 61% of peak ($2,098 / $3,437)1.8/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,040
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#87,830$53Vol: $58,378
SPORTS#148,789$64Vol: $8,305
🎭 CULTURE#4,837$1,061Vol: $5,948
📈 ECONOMICS#632,387$-24Vol: $113
💰 FINANCE#449,104$-1Vol: $102
🌤️ WEATHER#32,948$4Vol: $24
CRYPTO#379,195$2Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,040
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,464
Total Redeem
$1,553
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
950
total markets
Trades
1773B / 740S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~126d

Periods

#2
Today
$-45
Vol: $0
Week
$-92
Vol: $0
Month
$-237
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,040
Vol: $75,464

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
484W / 454L events
Realized PnL
$1,040
Win Rate
52%
484W / 454L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,733 (2.628372790737927% of PnL)

Top Winners

US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,004
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$972
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$758
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$418
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?$238
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$188
Cincinnati Reds vs. Texas Rangers$35
Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$35
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche$33
Flyers vs. Capitals$32

Top Losers

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-1,546
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?$-104
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-80
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$-70
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$-66
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by April 30?$-60
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$-60
Iran coup attempt by June 30?$-50
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets $-50
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$-47

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.056
Sortino
0.055
HHI
749
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.069
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.2
Active
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
15.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 946s — normal for humanCV 5.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active4.6 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.8%
Mid (20-55c)57.5%
High (>55c)35.7%

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 8:50:02 AM4 trades$3,5150 min
1/16/2026, 7:49:24 PM4 trades$3,5155 min
4/12/2026, 7:29:57 PM29 trades$3,0941 min
4/7/2026, 7:20:17 PM29 trades$2,9878 min
2/28/2026, 7:34:41 PM2 trades$2,1851 min
1/12/2026, 1:43:40 AM3 trades$1,8678 min
4/3/2026, 4:15:51 PM2 trades$1,7070 min
4/17/2026, 6:25:56 PM67 trades$1,5456 min
1/12/2026, 2:03:04 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
3/9/2026, 9:53:01 PM2 trades$1,0004 min
3/9/2026, 10:10:53 PM3 trades$8984 min
1/12/2026, 2:09:24 AM1 trades$8670 min
4/7/2026, 9:08:47 PM10 trades$8510 min
2/28/2026, 3:49:41 PM2 trades$8474 min
7/31/2026, 9:35:09 PM4 trades$8211 min
2/28/2026, 6:09:07 PM1 trades$8100 min
4/7/2026, 8:37:35 PM31 trades$6412 min
4/5/2026, 2:23:41 PM15 trades$5348 min
3/1/2026, 9:16:35 AM1 trades$5080 min
1/12/2026, 12:54:52 AM3 trades$5031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
02-27
03-17
04-04
05-03
05-23
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.8 / M57.5 / H35.7