serega-pirat

@serega-pirat

#2,804,69940

0x5e431767e88a04f8b048c18c72c1ee83c14940d8

~59d· 120 markets · 1030 tradesVol: $97,0102026-08-05 03:41:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

80% (96/120)20/20
0.78x (win $2,243 / loss $2,886)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7720/15
Sortino -0.7890/10
$-0.0104 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 280 (120 markets)10/10
39/49 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 667% of peak ($2,217 / $332)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 80%
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Whale
$61,862 invested
Consistent
39/49 profitable days
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
🎭 CULTURE#4,234$1,292Vol: $87,484
CRYPTO#1,637,694$-1,553Vol: $6,158
🏛️ POLITICS#1,478,111$-57Vol: $1,696
💻 TECH#233,129$-16Vol: $1,422
🌤️ WEATHER#258,202$-18Vol: $220
💰 FINANCE#241,147$0Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-352
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$97,010
Total Redeem
$30
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
120
total markets
Trades
640B / 390S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~59d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $24
All Time
$-352
Vol: $97,010

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
80%
96W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-352
Win Rate
80%
96W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $434 (1.23485085449427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$239
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$104
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$91
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$85
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$83
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$78
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$70
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$69
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$63
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$59

Top Losers

Over $3M committed to the Printr public sale?$-2,255
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$-181
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-81
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?$-69
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-63
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be less than 5,000?$-57
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$-56
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?$-42
Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-22
Will White House post 160-179 posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.040
Sortino
-0.019
HHI
223
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 422s — normal for humanCV 1.70 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.0 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.62
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.7%
Mid (20-55c)5%
High (>55c)88.3%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 10:43:14 AM2 trades$5,3610 min
5/14/2026, 6:34:44 AM3 trades$2,8892 min
4/24/2026, 9:45:56 PM2 trades$2,0880 min
4/30/2026, 7:11:00 AM6 trades$2,0002 min
5/17/2026, 8:53:43 PM10 trades$1,9343 min
5/15/2026, 11:41:59 AM4 trades$1,7613 min
4/8/2026, 4:44:51 PM10 trades$1,7510 min
5/4/2026, 7:32:14 PM15 trades$1,7087 min
5/18/2026, 2:41:21 PM1 trades$1,5590 min
4/29/2026, 7:08:54 PM1 trades$1,4850 min
5/4/2026, 6:59:08 PM3 trades$1,4331 min
6/9/2026, 4:56:00 PM14 trades$1,4225 min
6/16/2026, 4:01:22 PM6 trades$1,0536 min
4/26/2026, 8:39:26 AM11 trades$1,0175 min
6/23/2026, 7:13:01 AM3 trades$9480 min
5/15/2026, 3:49:33 PM6 trades$8995 min
5/12/2026, 8:50:18 PM5 trades$8343 min
4/28/2026, 10:27:20 AM2 trades$8130 min
4/30/2026, 9:43:14 AM2 trades$8000 min
5/19/2026, 3:28:15 PM15 trades$7973 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
04-02
04-28
05-10
05-18
06-17
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.62/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.7 / M5 / H88.3