@serferer
#2,948,579380xdc700b60c6ed2f9eb28a216314a167777ee3cc56
~121d· 142 markets · 3960 tradesVol: $188,8822026-08-05 01:47:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
68% (75/111)18.8/20
0.85x (win $18,951 / loss $22,269)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0920/15
Sortino -1.3460/10
$-0.0368 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 249 (111 markets)10/10
31/47 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 123617% of peak ($4,722 / $4)0/10
Badges
6Sniper
Win rate 68%
DCA Master
Avg 36.5 entries/market
Whale
$90,171 invested
Consistent
31/47 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
3🏛️ POLITICS#1,626,973$-2,233Vol: $178,311
📈 ECONOMICS#9,002$174Vol: $7,725
⚽ SPORTS#41,663$862Vol: $2,845
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,197
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$188,882
Total Redeem
$769
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
1594B / 2366S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~121d
Periods
#2Today
$-5
Vol: $0
Week
$-291
Vol: $510
Month
$-421
Vol: $510
All Time
$-1,197
Vol: $188,882
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
68%
75W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-1,197
Win Rate
68%
75W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$253
Avg Loss
$-619
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,298 (4.424663253972893% of PnL)
Top Winners
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$2,280
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$1,632
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1,387
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$1,239
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$1,231
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1,187
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1,135
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$972
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$898
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$826
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-4,247
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-2,514
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-1,987
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-1,751
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-1,561
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-1,399
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-1,342
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$-1,177
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-1,011
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$-964
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
214
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
21.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
30.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 738s — normal for humanCV 1.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency1.1 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
36.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4%
Mid (20-55c)29.8%
High (>55c)66.2%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 1:41:27 PM34 trades$5,1313 min
5/27/2026, 2:09:42 PM30 trades$4,1625 min
5/8/2026, 6:45:14 PM53 trades$2,44721 min
7/3/2026, 9:46:44 PM11 trades$2,2230 min
4/7/2026, 10:49:45 PM28 trades$1,94518 min
6/13/2026, 5:21:09 PM18 trades$1,85110 min
6/18/2026, 4:10:13 PM13 trades$1,8325 min
7/15/2026, 8:41:56 PM2 trades$1,8000 min
6/22/2026, 11:54:56 AM12 trades$1,7032 min
5/5/2026, 11:00:30 PM12 trades$1,5955 min
4/21/2026, 1:48:16 AM10 trades$1,4594 min
6/13/2026, 6:08:22 AM17 trades$1,2031 min
4/21/2026, 1:28:32 AM10 trades$1,1611 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:51 AM2 trades$1,1570 min
5/8/2026, 6:27:59 PM25 trades$1,15311 min
5/9/2026, 7:22:42 PM31 trades$1,1521 min
5/3/2026, 8:39:40 PM8 trades$1,1393 min
6/14/2026, 10:59:58 PM8 trades$1,1086 min
6/16/2026, 11:52:25 PM3 trades$1,0900 min
6/13/2026, 8:07:22 PM6 trades$1,0810 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-12
04-25
05-08
05-27
06-11
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 36.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4 / M29.8 / H66.2