@shamu02241182

#22,05336

0xc6bdd0d9bcd2176e4ea0d82a2b71002898792c9d

~15d· 52 markets · 1098 tradesVol: $201,5352026-08-05 00:38:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (9/50)0/20
1.05x (win $1,286 / loss $1,223)3.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.56610.6/15
Sortino 0.9249.2/10
$+0.0117 per $1 invested0.6/10
HHI 567 (50 markets)9.7/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 91% of peak ($630 / $693)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+5,971
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#332$5,971Vol: $201,535

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,971
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$201,535
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
322B / 776S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~15d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
9W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$5,971
Win Rate
17%
9W / 43L
Profit Factor
1.05x
Avg Win
$143
Avg Loss
$-31

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $796 (0.1333474012815231% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$295
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 14?$274
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on July 13?$227
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 16?$192
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 18?$112
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 22?$84
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 14?$77
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 23?$15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 17?$10

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on July 25?$-328
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?$-112
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 16?$-110
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 14?$-93
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$-55
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 16?$-55
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 18?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 23?$-42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 16?$-38
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 16?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.028
Sortino
0.047
HHI
1177
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.5%
Top-5 markets
62.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
73.2
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.8m
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 3.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)71% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule73 trades/day — mass trading3.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.3%
High (>55c)64.6%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 2:08:37 AM6 trades$1,0423 min
7/14/2026, 5:29:47 AM26 trades$8130 min
7/14/2026, 5:36:50 AM1 trades$7460 min
7/13/2026, 11:09:02 PM19 trades$5064 min
7/23/2026, 1:28:58 AM18 trades$4551 min
7/16/2026, 12:23:17 AM33 trades$4248 min
7/21/2026, 11:05:55 PM20 trades$4186 min
7/18/2026, 6:19:55 AM17 trades$3848 min
7/22/2026, 5:47:40 AM12 trades$3291 min
7/23/2026, 1:21:40 AM15 trades$2990 min
7/21/2026, 11:41:54 PM4 trades$2750 min
7/13/2026, 11:56:50 PM19 trades$2740 min
7/22/2026, 12:34:36 AM1 trades$2480 min
7/11/2026, 1:38:22 PM2 trades$2240 min
7/25/2026, 7:12:12 AM26 trades$1875 min
7/14/2026, 4:15:49 AM29 trades$1567 min
7/23/2026, 6:52:01 AM19 trades$1564 min
7/14/2026, 7:01:11 AM8 trades$1560 min
7/17/2026, 4:03:10 AM7 trades$1440 min
7/23/2026, 2:18:19 AM29 trades$14013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-07-13 12:00:00
2026-07-14 12:00:00
2026-07-16 12:00:00
2026-07-17 12:00:00
2026-07-18 12:00:00
2026-07-20 12:00:00
2026-07-21 12:00:00
2026-07-22 12:00:00
2026-07-23 12:00:00
2026-07-25 12:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.02/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L31.1 / M4.3 / H64.6