shiepapito

@shiepapito

#41,00438

0x4d45927738376db79e72c78f4a2f9637c424652a

~221d· 1620 markets · 8066 tradesVol: $1,138,9662026-08-04 19:48:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (1129/1561)20/20
0.75x (win $11,814 / loss $15,791)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0430/15
Sortino -1.1480/10
$-0.0053 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 66 (1561 markets)10/10
113/187 profitable days (60%)7.6/10
Max DD 1407% of peak ($8,512 / $605)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+2,715
DCA Master
Avg 5.1 entries/market
Whale
$754,902 invested
Consistent
113/187 profitable days
High Roller
$2,576/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#1,219$1,471Vol: $623,451
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,259$-578Vol: $169,258
🎭 CULTURE#50,473$19Vol: $89,980
SPORTS#50,614$626Vol: $79,100
CRYPTO#126,081$52Vol: $63,688
💰 FINANCE#15,645$132Vol: $30,902
📈 ECONOMICS#3,743$736Vol: $26,710
📢 MENTIONS#164,661$-106Vol: $19,726
💻 TECH#253,274$-208Vol: $19,213

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,715
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,138,966
Total Redeem
$123
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1620
total markets
Trades
5204B / 2862S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~221d

Periods

#2
Today
$-21
Vol: $193
Week
$-2
Vol: $1,813
Month
$-26
Vol: $1,813
All Time
$2,715
Vol: $1,138,966

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
1129W / 432L events
Realized PnL
$2,715
Win Rate
72%
1129W / 432L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,172 (0.7999108553831193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on April 25?$845
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$666
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$660
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1440.00 and 1459.99 at the end of January 2026?$624
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$556
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$457
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$406
Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$398
La Velada del Año 6: Viruzz vs Gero Arias$314
Will AWP | Printstream win the HLTV Skin of the Year award?$296

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 19?$-2,977
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 20?$-2,794
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 21?$-1,998
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,240
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?$-593
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$-505
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during December press conference?$-360
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 20?$-332
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$-234
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-198

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.040
HHI
36
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
6.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.1m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
43.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 2.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency5.5 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)10.6%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
4/29/2026, 9:39:26 PM138 trades$11,79323 min
5/9/2026, 10:29:22 PM171 trades$11,78526 min
3/15/2026, 2:34:29 PM20 trades$11,60611 min
4/25/2026, 11:14:08 PM78 trades$9,4524 min
3/27/2026, 7:23:57 PM33 trades$8,82820 min
5/6/2026, 9:54:14 PM122 trades$8,47518 min
5/7/2026, 10:20:56 PM102 trades$8,33525 min
4/28/2026, 1:05:56 PM6 trades$8,2938 min
5/3/2026, 9:20:36 PM79 trades$7,77824 min
3/31/2026, 10:54:05 PM26 trades$7,63810 min
5/4/2026, 8:49:40 PM79 trades$7,56830 min
2/16/2026, 7:30:59 PM3 trades$7,1512 min
5/1/2026, 11:14:10 PM70 trades$6,77411 min
4/26/2026, 8:15:06 PM76 trades$6,7542 min
3/26/2026, 11:49:07 PM19 trades$6,75011 min
3/16/2026, 8:18:29 PM18 trades$6,72512 min
3/29/2026, 12:30:06 AM22 trades$6,58328 min
5/12/2026, 9:05:37 PM129 trades$6,37430 min
3/19/2026, 11:35:01 PM23 trades$6,24122 min
3/17/2026, 9:59:09 PM384 trades$6,22310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-16
11-27
12-31
02-01
03-04
04-28
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
20% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.09/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.3 / M10.6 / H78.1